đŸ‡Ș🇾

La Liga

Espanyol - Sevilla

09/06/2026, 07:00 PM

1 : 1
Expected Goals
Espanyol
1.3
Total xG
2.2
Sevilla
0.9
Most Likely Scores

1:1

14%

1:0

13%

0:0

12%

2:0

10%

2:1

9%
What influences the xG?
ESPSEV

Espanyol

3 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (1.6 goals/match)
+0.10
Rising form (1.6 vs 1.2 season average)
+0.10
16% of goal output missing (only 86% available)

Sevilla

Attack weakness (0.6x league average)
-0.50
3 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (1.2 goals/match)
-0.04
Oso not in squad (2 goals, 3 assists)
Peque FernĂĄndez on the bench (2 goals, 1 assists)
71% of goal output missing (only 37% available)
Weak away record (0.9 vs 1.3 goals/match)

League

High-scoring league (3 goals/match)
+0.47
+0.47
The Lab
Statistical patterns from recent matches
  • 1
    Espanyol: 3.6 cards per game (39 yellows, 1 reds in 11 games)

  • 2
    Espanyol: 6 of 15 goals conceded from minute 76 onwards (last 12 games)

  • 3
    Sevilla: 3.1 cards per game (35 yellows, 2 reds in 12 games)

  • 4
    Sevilla: 5 of 15 goals scored by substitutes (last 12 games)

  • 5
    Sevilla: opponent scores first in 8 of 12 games (67%)

  • 6
    Sevilla: scored only in H2 in 3 consecutive games (5 of 12 total)

Model Probabilities

Match Result

Home Win

46%

Draw

31%

Away Win

23%

Goals

Over 1.5

67%

Under 1.5

33%

Over 2.5

39%

Under 2.5

61%

Over 3.5

19%

Under 3.5

81%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

77%

Away or Draw

54%

No Draw

69%

Both Score

Yes

45%

No

55%

Key Factors
  • Sevilla are highly weakened with only 37% of their usual starting strength available as Oso and Peque FernĂĄndez are missing
  • Espanyol show improved efficiency scoring an average of 1.6 goals recently compared to their season average of 1.3
  • The mathematical model favors Espanyol with a 46% win probability
Risk Factors
  • Sevilla concede an average of 1.94 goals per away match
  • Espanyol recently suffered two consecutive defeats in the league
Overview

Espanyol host Sevilla at the RCDE Stadium

La Liga match on September 6, 2026, 9:00 PM

Espanyol are in 14th place with 3 points

Sevilla travel as 9th in the standings with 6 points

An important clash for both mid-table teams

Form

Espanyol's form: WDWLL (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

The home side recently suffered two consecutive defeats

Sevilla's form: LLWWL (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

Sevilla recorded 2 wins and 3 losses in their recent matches

Statistics

Espanyol average 1.13 goals scored and 1.45 goals conceded per match

At home, Espanyol average 1.11 goals scored and 1.26 goals conceded

Sevilla average 1.21 goals scored per match

Away from home, Sevilla concede an average of 1.94 goals per match

Matches at the RCDE Stadium average 2.4 goals per game

Head-to-Head

5 head-to-head matches in history

Sevilla have 2 wins, Espanyol have 1 win, and 2 matches ended in a draw

The goal difference stands at 6 to 8 goals against Espanyol

The last meeting ended 2-1 for Sevilla on May 9, 2026

Key Players

Roberto FernĂĄndez scored 7 goals this season and 4 goals in the last five matches

Edu ExpĂłsito contributes 1 goal and 6 assists in midfield

Tyrhys Dolan recorded 2 goals and 5 assists this season

Chidera Ejuke has 1 goal this season and scored once in his last five matches

Gabriel Suazo contributes 2 assists from defense

Lucien Agoumé convinces with an average rating of 6.83

Goalkeepers

Odysseas Vlachodimos guards Sevilla's goal with a season rating of 6.74

Espanyol kept 10 clean sheets this season

Sevilla currently have 6 clean sheets this season

Influences

The match is played on natural grass at the RCDE Stadium

The historical venue averages 2.4 goals per match

Both teams scored in 2 out of 5 home matches

Ready to Get Started?

Create an account and discover data-driven football analyses. Cancel anytime.