đŸ‡Ș🇾

La Liga

Real Betis - Real Madrid

09/04/2026, 07:00 PM

1 : 0
Expected Goals
Real Betis
1.3
Total xG
2.8
Real Madrid
1.5
Most Likely Scores

1:1

13%

1:2

9%

2:1

7%

0:2

7%

2:2

6%
What influences the xG?
RBRM

Real Betis

3 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (1.4 goals/match)
-0.11
Declining form (1.4 vs 1.8 season average)
-0.11
Rodrigo Riquelme not in squad (1 goals, 1 assists)

Real Madrid

Attack strength (1.26x league average)
+0.49
4 of last 5 matches with 2+ goals (3 goals/match)
+0.23
Rising form (3 vs 2.2 season average)
+0.23
Defensive strength (1.1 conceded vs 1.1 league avg)
-0.02
Álvaro Carreras  on the bench (2 goals, 3 assists)
Weak away record (1.6 vs 2.2 goals/match)

League

High-scoring league (2.8 goals/match)
+0.34
+0.34
The Lab
Statistical patterns from recent matches
  • 1
    Real Madrid: first goal in 11 of 12 games (92%)

  • 2
    Real Madrid: 5 of 13 goals conceded from minute 76 onwards (last 12 games)

  • 3
    Real Betis: first goal in 8 of 12 games (67%)

Model Probabilities

Match Result

Home Win

30%

Draw

28%

Away Win

42%

Goals

Over 1.5

78%

Under 1.5

22%

Over 2.5

53%

Under 2.5

47%

Over 3.5

31%

Under 3.5

69%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

58%

Away or Draw

70%

No Draw

72%

Both Score

Yes

58%

No

42%

Key Factors
  • Real Madrid is in exceptional form with 5 consecutive wins, averaging 3.0 goals recently compared to their season average of 2.2
  • Real Madrid's attack has been highly clinical, recently averaging 7.2 shots on target per match
  • Real Madrid holds the historical upper hand with 2 wins from their last 4 direct encounters against Real Betis
Risk Factors
  • Real Betis showed defensive vulnerabilities by conceding 5 goals in their last game against Levante
  • Real Betis' goal production has dried up recently, dropping to 1.4 goals per match compared to their 1.8 season average
  • Real Madrid's tactical balance in midfield is slightly affected by the injury of A. TchouamĂ©ni
Overview

Real Betis hosts Real Madrid at the Estadio La Cartuja de Sevilla

La Liga match on September 4, 2026, 9:00 PM

Real Betis currently sits in 7th place with 6 points, while Real Madrid is 2nd with 9 points

An exciting clash in the upper tier of the table

Form

Real Betis has a form of LWWWL (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

They suffered a tough 2-5 defeat against Levante in their last match

Real Madrid is in stellar shape with 5 consecutive wins (WWWWW)

The visitors recently celebrated a convincing 4-0 victory over MĂĄlaga

Statistics

Real Betis averages 1.55 goals scored and 1.26 goals conceded per game this season

Real Madrid shines with an average of 2.03 goals scored and only 0.92 goals conceded

Real Betis has a solid home defense, conceding only 0.86 goals per match

Real Madrid proves to be highly clinical away from home, averaging exactly 2.00 goals per game

Head-to-Head

A total of 4 head-to-head matches have been recorded

Real Madrid won 2 games, Real Betis won 1 game, with 1 match ending in a draw

The overall goal difference is 9-4 in favor of Real Madrid

The last direct duel on April 24, 2026, ended in a 1-1 draw

Key Players

Pablo Fornals is key in Betis' midfield with 9 goals and 6 assists this season

Kylian Mbappé leads Real Madrid's frontline with 25 goals and 5 assists

Vinicius Junior boosts the visitors' attack with 16 goals and 5 assists

Rodrigo Riquelme for Real Betis and Álvaro Carreras for Real Madrid were not nominated

Goalkeepers

Álvaro Valles has kept 10 clean sheets for Real Betis this season

Thibaut Courtois has recorded 14 clean sheets in goal for Real Madrid

Both keepers boast reliable ratings (Valles: 6.95, Courtois: 6.84)

Influences

The match will be played on natural grass at the Estadio La Cartuja de Sevilla

The stadium averages 2.4 goals per match based on historical venue data

Real Madrid enters with 5 days of rest, while Real Betis has had 6 days of recovery

Ready to Get Started?

Create an account and discover data-driven football analyses. Cancel anytime.