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La Liga

Osasuna - Espanyol

09/12/2026, 02:15 PM

0 : 2
Expected Goals
Osasuna
1.6
Total xG
2.7
Espanyol
1.1
Most Likely Scores

1:1

13%

2:1

9%

2:0

8%

1:2

7%

2:2

5%
What influences the xG?
OSAESP

Osasuna

3 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (1 goals/match)
-0.15
Standings disadvantage (pos 17 vs 11, 6 places gap)
-0.10
Abel Bretones on the bench (1 goals, 2 assists)
Moi GĂłmez not in squad (0 goals, 2 assists)
Aimar Oroz not in squad (0 goals, 2 assists)

Espanyol

4 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (1.4 goals/match)
+0.05
Standings advantage (pos 11 vs 17, 6 places gap)
+0.03
E. GarcĂ­a MartĂ­nez not in squad (8 goals, 1 assists)
18% of goal output missing (only 79% available)

League

High-scoring league (3 goals/match)
+0.45
+0.45
The Lab
Statistical patterns from recent matches
  • 1
    Osasuna: opponent scores first in 10 of 11 games (91%)

  • 2
    Espanyol: 3.5 cards per game (38 yellows, 1 reds in 11 games)

  • 3
    Espanyol: 7 of 16 goals conceded from minute 76 onwards (last 12 games)

  • 4
    Osasuna: scored only after the break in 6 of 12 games

  • 5
    Osasuna: 4 of 13 goals scored by substitutes (last 12 games)

Model Probabilities

Match Result

Home Win

46%

Draw

28%

Away Win

25%

Goals

Over 1.5

77%

Under 1.5

23%

Over 2.5

50%

Under 2.5

50%

Over 3.5

28%

Under 3.5

72%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

75%

Away or Draw

54%

No Draw

72%

Both Score

Yes

55%

No

45%

Key Factors
  • Strong home defense: Osasuna concedes an average of only 0.89 goals per match in front of their own fans
  • Tactical focus: Osasuna recently averaged 4.8 shots on target per match
  • Offensive uptick: Espanyol currently averages 1.4 goals per game, an improvement compared to their seasonal average of 1.2
Risk Factors
  • Osasuna's goal production has slowed down, averaging 1.3 goals recently compared to their seasonal average of 1.5
  • Restricted data availability regarding duel statistics in recent matches
  • The absence of M. GĂłmez Bordonado weakens Osasuna's midfield options
Overview

Osasuna hosts Espanyol at the Estadio El Sadar

La Liga match on September 12, 2026, 4:15 PM

Osasuna sits in 8th place with 7 points

Espanyol travels as the 12th-placed team with 4 points

Form

Osasuna enters with a form string of LDWWL

The hosts recently lost 2-5 against Deportivo Alavés

Espanyol holds a form string of DWLLD

The visitors recently played out a 1-1 draw against Sevilla

Espanyol shows a positive recent form trend

Statistics

Osasuna has scored an average of 1.16 goals per game this season

Espanyol averages 1.13 goals scored per match

Osasuna's home defense is strong, conceding only 0.89 goals per game

Espanyol concedes an average of 1.63 goals per away match

Head-to-Head

There have been 4 head-to-head matches in total

Espanyol leads with 2 wins compared to 1 win for Osasuna

The last matchup on May 17, 2026, ended in a 2-1 win for Espanyol

Key Players

Ante Budimir has scored 17 season goals for Osasuna, including 4 in his last five matches

RaĂșl GarcĂ­a has contributed 7 goals and 1 assist for the hosts

Roberto FernĂĄndez leads Espanyol's attack with 7 goals, scoring 4 times in his last five matches

Goalkeepers

Sergio Herrera has made 37 appearances in goal for Osasuna this season

The home goalkeeper has recorded 7 clean sheets so far

Influences

The match will be played on grass at the Estadio El Sadar

The venue averages 2.0 goals per game historically

Both teams scored in 60% of the matches played at this stadium

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