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La Liga

Levante - FC Barcelona

09/13/2026, 02:15 PM

2 : 4
Expected Goals
Levante
1.2
Total xG
2.7
FC Barcelona
1.5
Most Likely Scores

1:1

13%

1:2

9%

0:2

8%

2:1

7%

2:2

6%
What influences the xG?
LEVFB

Levante

Attack strength (1.21x league average)
-0.37
Standings disadvantage (pos 16 vs 1, 15 places gap)
-0.21
Rising form (2 vs 1.4 season average)
+0.18
4 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (1.2 goals/match)
-0.06
Defensive strength (1.7 conceded vs 1.7 league avg)
-0.01
IvĂĄn Romero on the bench (7 goals, 1 assists)
46% of goal output missing (only 76% available)

FC Barcelona

5 of last 5 matches with 2+ goals (4.4 goals/match)
+0.53
Rising form (4.4 vs 2.6 season average)
+0.53
Defensive strength (1.1 conceded vs 1.2 league avg)
-0.17
Attack strength (1.63x league average)
+0.17
3 clean sheets in last 5 matches
-0.15
Standings advantage (pos 1 vs 16, 15 places gap)
+0.11
Marc Bernal on the bench (2 goals, 1 assists)

League

High-scoring league (3 goals/match)
+0.46
+0.46
The Lab
Statistical patterns from recent matches
  • 1
    FC Barcelona: 10 wins in 11 games with xG above 1.0 (91% win rate)

  • 2
    FC Barcelona: first goal in 10 of 12 games (83%)

  • 3
    Levante: 6 wins in 7 games with xG above 1.0 (86% win rate)

  • 4
    FC Barcelona with Raphinha starting: 3.4 goals/game, without him: 1.6 (17/10 games, last 29)

  • 5
    Levante: 37% of all goals between minutes 31-45 (7 of 19)

Model Probabilities

Match Result

Home Win

28%

Draw

28%

Away Win

43%

Goals

Over 1.5

77%

Under 1.5

23%

Over 2.5

52%

Under 2.5

48%

Over 3.5

30%

Under 3.5

70%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

57%

Away or Draw

72%

No Draw

72%

Both Score

Yes

57%

No

43%

Key Factors
  • Tactical dominance: FC Barcelona averaged 9.0 shots on target with 68% possession in recent matches
  • Superb form: League leaders Barcelona enter the match with a streak of 5 consecutive wins
  • Offensive discrepancy: Barcelona scores significantly more recently with 4.4 goals per match compared to Levante's 2.0
Risk Factors
  • Squad loss: Levante is without IvĂĄn Romero, leaving only 76% of their usual goal threat available in the starting eleven
  • Defensive vulnerability: Barcelona conceded an average of 1.73 goals per away match this season
  • Fatigue factor: FC Barcelona plays this match with only 4 days of rest since their last game
Overview

Levante (13th place, 5 points) hosts league leaders FC Barcelona (1st place, 12 points)

La Liga match on September 13, 2026, 4:15 PM

The match takes place at the Estadio Ciudad de Valencia

The unbeaten leaders enter as clear favorites

Form

Levante shows a form of LLDWD with one win and two draws

FC Barcelona arrives with a perfect form of WWWWW

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

Barcelona won their last five consecutive matches across all competitions

Statistics

Levante scored an average of 1.24 goals and conceded 1.61 goals per match this season

FC Barcelona averaged 2.50 goals scored while conceding only 0.95 goals per match

Barcelona recorded 15 clean sheets this season compared to Levante's 9

Head-to-Head

Two direct matches in recent years both ended in victories for Barcelona

The goal difference in these matches stands at 6-2 in favor of the Catalan side

The last meeting on February 22, 2026, ended in a 3-0 victory for Barcelona

Key Players

Roger Brugué impressed with 3 goals in his last 5 matches

Jon Ander Olasagasti recorded 1 goal and 5 assists this season

AdriĂĄn Dela contributed 3 goals from defense this season

Lamine Yamal leads the visitors with 16 goals and 11 assists this season

Raphinha shone with 8 goals in his last 5 appearances

FermĂ­n LĂłpez contributed 6 goals and 9 assists this season

Goalkeepers

Mathew Ryan played 36 matches with an average rating of 7.13

Joan GarcĂ­a has 30 appearances with a rating of 7.10

The visiting goalkeeper benefited from 15 clean sheets by his team

Influences

Recent matches at the Estadio Ciudad de Valencia averaged 3.4 total goals per game

The stadium surface is grass

Levante scored an average of 1.24 goals and conceded 1.33 goals at home

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