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La Liga

Real Betis - Getafe

09/17/2026, 05:00 PM

1 : 0
Expected Goals
Real Betis
1.6
Total xG
2.6
Getafe
1.0
Most Likely Scores

1:1

13%

2:1

9%

2:0

9%

1:2

6%

3:1

5%
What influences the xG?
RBGET

Real Betis

Attack weakness (0.76x league average)
-0.81
Small sample (2 matches) - regression to mean
+0.59
Standings advantage (pos 5 vs 15, 10 places gap)
+0.08
3 of last 5 matches with 2+ goals (1.8 goals/match)
+0.00
Cucho HernĂĄndez on the bench (1 goals, 1 assists)
Rodrigo Riquelme on the bench (2 goals, 0 assists)
50% of goal output missing (only 34% available)

Getafe

Attack weakness (0.59x league average)
-0.42
Small sample (2 matches) - regression to mean
+0.25
Defensive strength (1.2 conceded vs 1.3 league avg)
-0.17
Standings disadvantage (pos 15 vs 5, 10 places gap)
-0.12
5 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (0.8 goals/match)
-0.05
66% of goal output missing (only 83% available)
Weak away record (0.7 vs 1 goals/match)

League

High-scoring league (3.1 goals/match)
+0.57
+0.57
The Lab
Statistical patterns from recent matches
  • 1
    Getafe: 3.2 cards per game (34 yellows, 4 reds in 12 games)

  • 2
    Real Betis: 33% of all goals between minutes 31-45 (7 of 21)

Model Probabilities

Match Result

Home Win

49%

Draw

28%

Away Win

23%

Goals

Over 1.5

76%

Under 1.5

24%

Over 2.5

49%

Under 2.5

51%

Over 3.5

27%

Under 3.5

73%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

77%

Away or Draw

51%

No Draw

72%

Both Score

Yes

53%

No

47%

Key Factors
  • Only 34% of the goal threat available, without Cucho HernĂĄndez and Rodrigo Riquelme
  • Real Betis averaged 6.2 shots on target per match in recent games
  • The mathematical prediction calculates a home win probability of 49%
Risk Factors
  • Real Betis with only 3 days of rest since their last match
  • Getafe averaged only 2.4 shots on target per match in recent games
  • Limited data availability for weather conditions
Overview

Real Betis (5th place, 12 points) host Getafe (15th place, 5 points) at the Estadio Benito VillamarĂ­n

La Liga match on September 17, 2026, 7:00 PM

Real Betis enter as favorites, while Getafe desperately need points in the lower table

Form

Real Betis show strong form with 4 wins and 1 loss in their last 5 games

Current form of the home team: WLWWW (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

Getafe managed only 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses in the same span

Current form of the away team: WLLDD

Statistics

Real Betis score an average of 1.55 goals per game this season

Real Betis' defense remains stable at home, conceding just 0.86 goals per match

Getafe average only 0.84 goals scored per league game

On the road, the visitors concede an average of 1.29 goals per match

Head-to-Head

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Real Betis won 3 times, while Getafe won once

The overall goal difference in these matches is 8:4 in favor of Real Betis

The most recent encounter in March 2026 ended in a 2-0 victory for Getafe

Key Players

Antony achieves an average rating of 7.22 and vitalizes the attack

Isco contributed 1 assist in recent matches and directs the midfield

Abde Ezzalzouli recently scored 1 goal and provided 1 assist

MartĂ­n Satriano is the most successful forward with 1 goal in 5 appearances

Andrés García convinces in defense with a season rating of 6.83

IvĂĄn AzĂłn has already contributed 2 assists

Goalkeepers

Álvaro Valles guards Real Betis' goal with an outstanding season rating of 7.65

David Soria stands ready on the opposite side with a stable rating of 7.00

The defensive lines have recorded 10 and 12 clean sheets respectively this season

Influences

Home advantage on grass at the Estadio Benito VillamarĂ­n for Real Betis

Historically, matches at this stadium produce an average of 2.6 goals

Getafe travel with a record of conceding 1.29 goals per away game

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