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La Liga

Deportivo La Coruña - Real Betis

09/20/2026, 04:30 PM

1 : 1
Expected Goals
Deportivo La Coruña
1.3
Total xG
2.7
Real Betis
1.4
Most Likely Scores

1:1

14%

1:2

9%

2:1

8%

0:2

7%

2:0

6%
What influences the xG?
DLCRB

Deportivo La Coruña

Attack weakness (0.51x league average)
-0.92
Defensive strength (0.9 conceded vs 1.7 league avg)
-0.79
Small sample (3 matches) - regression to mean
+0.53
3 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (1.6 goals/match)
-0.03
Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang on the bench (5 goals, 2 assists)
Luismi Cruz on the bench (1 goals, 1 assists)
100% of goal output missing (only 9% available)

Real Betis

Attack strength (1.26x league average)
+0.07
3 of last 5 matches with 2+ goals (1.8 goals/match)
+0.01
Small sample (3 matches) - regression to mean
-0.00
Troy Parrott on the bench (1 goals, 1 assists)
Rodrigo Riquelme on the bench (2 goals, 0 assists)

League

High-scoring league (3 goals/match)
+0.51
+0.51
The Lab
Statistical patterns from recent matches
  • 1
    Deportivo La Coruña: 44% of all goals between minutes 76-90 (8 of 18)

  • 2
    Real Betis: 38% of all goals between minutes 31-45 (8 of 21)

  • 3
    Real Betis: first goal in 8 of 12 games (67%)

Model Probabilities

Match Result

Home Win

33%

Draw

29%

Away Win

38%

Goals

Over 1.5

76%

Under 1.5

24%

Over 2.5

50%

Under 2.5

50%

Over 3.5

28%

Under 3.5

72%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

62%

Away or Draw

67%

No Draw

71%

Both Score

Yes

56%

No

44%

Key Factors
  • Only 9% of Deportivo La Coruña's goal threat is available, with Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang and Luismi Cruz missing
  • Real Betis averaged a strong 7.2 shots on target per match in recent games
  • Real Betis enters on a strong streak of 4 consecutive wins and is favored by the model with a 38% win probability
Risk Factors
  • Limited data availability for head-to-head records
  • Real Betis has had only 3 days of rest since their last match
  • Deportivo La Coruña has failed to keep a single clean sheet this season
Overview

Deportivo La Coruña (7th place, 9 points) host Real Betis (3rd place, 15 points)

La Liga match at Estadio Abanca-Riazor on September 20, 2026, 4:30 PM

An exciting clash in the upper part of the table

Form

Deportivo La Coruña enters with a form of DWWDL (2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss)

Real Betis is in excellent shape with a form of LWWWW (4 wins, 0 draws, 1 loss)

The visitors travel with a running streak of 4 consecutive wins

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

Statistics

Deportivo La Coruña scores an average of 1.5 goals and concedes 1.17 goals per match

Real Betis scores an average of 1.55 goals and concedes 1.26 goals per game

The home side has scored 4 goals in 3 home games this season

Both teams scored in 5 out of 6 matches played by Deportivo La Coruña

Head-to-Head

There are no head-to-head records available in the provided dataset

Key Players

Mario Soriano (Midfielder) with a season average rating of 6.93 and 1 assist

Marc Bartra (Defender) scored an outstanding 3 goals in his last 5 matches

Abde Ezzalzouli (Attacker) registered 1 goal and 1 assist with an average rating of 7.15

Goalkeepers

Leo Román starts in goal for Deportivo La Coruña and is still looking for his first clean sheet

Álvaro Valles plays for Real Betis with a strong season average rating of 7.56

Real Betis has kept 10 clean sheets so far this season

Influences

Home advantage at Estadio Abanca-Riazor with an average of 2.0 total goals per game

The match will be played on natural grass

Deportivo La Coruña concedes an average of 1.0 goals per home game

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