La Liga
Valencia - Real Sociedad
09/20/2026, 07:00 PM
Expected Goals
1.4
2.5
1.1
1:1
14%2:1
9%2:0
8%1:2
7%0:2
5%What influences the xG?
Valencia
Real Sociedad
League
The Lab
- 1Valencia: opponent scores first in 8 of 11 games (73%)
- 2Real Sociedad with Gonçalo Guedes starting: 1.9 goals/game, without him: 1 (15/7 games, last 30)
- 3Real Sociedad: dropped a lead in 3 of 5 games (7 points lost)
- 4Real Sociedad: 7 of 12 games without conceding in H1, but only 1 over 90 minutes
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
42%
Draw
30%
Away Win
28%
Goals
Over 1.5
73%
Under 1.5
27%
Over 2.5
46%
Under 2.5
54%
Over 3.5
24%
Under 3.5
76%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
72%
Away or Draw
58%
No Draw
70%
Both Score
Yes
52%
No
48%
Key Factors
- Tactical advantage: Real Sociedad averaged 5.8 shots on target in recent matches compared to Valencia's 2.2
- Attack in crisis: Valencia's goal production has stalled with only 0.4 goals per game recently compared to their season average of 1.3
- Head-to-head edge: Valencia won the last direct duel 4:3 and secured 2 victories out of 4 encounters
Risk Factors
- Physical fatigue: Real Sociedad enters the match with only 3 days of rest since their last game
- Valencia injury crisis: A total of 7 players are sidelined, including M. Diakhaby and U. Sadiq Mesbah
- Squad impact for Real Sociedad: Only 10% of their seasonal goal production is available in the current lineup
Overview
Valencia (19th place, 4 points) host Real Sociedad (14th place, 7 points) at Estadio de Mestalla
La Liga match on September 20, 2026, 9:00 PM
A crucial encounter in the lower tier of the standings
Form
Valencia enters with a form trend of LLLLW
Recently recording 1 win and 4 losses
Real Sociedad comes with a form curve of WDWLL
The visitors secured 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in their last matches
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
Statistics
Valencia averages 1.21 goals scored and 1.45 goals conceded this season
In home games their average stands at 1.23 goals scored and 1.05 goals conceded
Real Sociedad averages 1.55 goals scored and 1.61 goals conceded per match
The visitors concede an average of 2.14 goals in away games
Head-to-Head
4 head-to-head matches in recent years
Valencia secured 2 wins while Real Sociedad won 1 match alongside 1 draw
Goal record of 6:7 from Valencia's perspective
The last meeting ended with a 4:3 victory for Valencia
Key Players
Guido RodrĂguez in midfield has contributed 2 goals with a rating of 7.09
Arnaut Danjuma leads the attack with an average rating of 6.63
Javi Guerra operates in midfield with 1 assist and a 6.65 rating
Luka Sucic leads the visitors with 2 goals and a rating of 7.06
Sergio GĂłmez stands strong in defence with 1 goal and a 7.02 rating
Job Ochieng impacts the attack with 1 goal and 2 assists alongside a 6.68 rating
Goalkeepers
Stole Dimitrievski starts in goal for Valencia with a rating of 6.79
The goalkeeper kept 9 clean sheets in 38 matches this season
Ălex Remiro guards the net for Real Sociedad with a rating of 7.06
The keeper achieved 3 clean sheets this season
Influences
Played on grass at Estadio de Mestalla
Valencia's home strength is shown by 27 goals scored at home compared to 19 away
Historically matches at this stadium average 2.4 total goals per game
Both teams scored in 40% of home matches at Estadio de Mestalla