Super League
Thun - Sion
02/15/2026, 01:00 PM
Expected Goals
2.2
3.7
1.6
2:1
9%2:2
7%1:2
6%3:1
6%3:2
5%Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
50%
Draw
23%
Away Win
27%
Goals
Over 1.5
90%
Under 1.5
10%
Over 2.5
72%
Under 2.5
28%
Over 3.5
51%
Under 3.5
49%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
73%
Away or Draw
50%
No Draw
77%
Both Score
Yes
71%
No
29%
Key Factors
- Huge form disparity: Thun is on a winning streak (5 consecutive wins), while Sion, despite being unbeaten, has dropped many points through draws
- Home and surface advantage: Thun is extremely strong at home (avg 2.42 goals) and has a positive record on artificial turf, where Sion lost its only game this season
- Offensive dominance: Thun has the best attack in the league and is currently scoring even more frequently than their season average, posing a massive challenge to Sion's solid defense
Risk Factors
- Sion's resilience: Despite the many draws, Sion is unbeaten in their last five matches, making them difficult to defeat
- Potential fatigue: Both teams played their last match only three days ago, which could lead to signs of tiredness
- Sion's defensive stability: With only 1.17 goals conceded per game, Sion has one of the better defenses in the league, which could withstand Thun's attack
Overview
Top match in the Super League: league leaders Thun (1st place, 55 points) host Sion (5th place, 37 points) at the Stockhorn Arena
The match takes place on February 15, 2026, at 2:00 PM
Thun can extend their lead at the top with a win, while Sion aims to keep pace with the top teams
The mathematical analysis favors the home team with a 50% win probability
Form
Thun is in outstanding form, having won all of their last five matches
Thun's form (all competitions): WWWWW (5 wins, 0 draws, 0 losses)
Sion is also unbeaten in their last five games but had four consecutive draws before their last win
Sion's form (all competitions): DDDDW (1 win, 4 draws, 0 losses)
The form curve clearly points in favor of the league leaders
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
Statistics
Thun boasts the strongest offense in the league with 56 goals this season, averaging 2.33 goals per game
Sion has scored 36 goals, which is an average of 1.5 goals
Both teams have conceded 28 goals this season (avg. 1.17 per game)
At home, Thun is particularly dangerous, scoring an average of 2.42 goals per game
In 19 of Thun's 24 league games, there have been over 2.5 goals
Head-to-Head
In the head-to-head comparison of the last five encounters, Thun has the upper hand
Thun won three of the matches, while Sion was successful once, and one game ended in a draw
The goal difference is 7:5 in favor of Thun
The last meeting on November 1, 2025, was won 2:1 by Thun at home
Key Players
For Thun, Elmin Rastoder (9 season goals, 4 assists) and Leonardo Bertone (8 goals, 1 assist) are the driving forces in attack
Elmin Rastoder has scored 5 goals in his last 5 matches
For Sion, Rilind Nivokazi is the top scorer with 8 season goals
Ilyas Chouaref (5 goals, 3 assists) and Nias Hefti (6 assists) are also key players
Goalkeepers
The goalkeeper matchup is Niklas Steffen for Thun against Anthony Racioppi for Sion
Both have played 24 matches this season
Anthony Racioppi has recorded significantly more clean sheets this season with 9, compared to Niklas Steffen's 4
Influences
The Stockhorn Arena is known for high-scoring games, with an average of 4.8 goals in the last 5 matches
The artificial turf provides a clear home advantage
Thun has won 7 of their last 10 games on this surface
Sion lost their only game of the season on artificial turf