Super League
Grasshopper - Zürich
02/21/2026, 07:30 PM
Expected Goals
1.3
2.9
1.6
1:1
13%1:2
9%0:2
7%2:1
7%2:2
6%Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
29%
Draw
28%
Away Win
44%
Goals
Over 1.5
80%
Under 1.5
20%
Over 2.5
55%
Under 2.5
45%
Over 3.5
32%
Under 3.5
68%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
56%
Away or Draw
71%
No Draw
73%
Both Score
Yes
59%
No
41%
Key Factors
- Defensive Weaknesses: Both teams are defensively vulnerable (Grasshopper 1.80 goals conceded/game, Zürich 1.96), suggesting an open game, supported by the model's 59% probability for both teams to score
- Slight Offensive Advantage for Zürich: The visitors score slightly more goals per game (1.48 vs 1.32) and are considered favorites by the mathematical model with a 44% win probability
- Mutual Poor Form: Neither team is in good shape, with Grasshopper winless in five games (DDDLD) and Zürich having lost four of their last five (LLLWL)
Risk Factors
- Key Offensive Absences: Zürich is missing key attacker Matthias Phaëton (7 goals), leaving only 62% of their season's goal production available
- Grasshopper's Missing Players: The home team is also impacted by absences, with only 61% of their goal threat available for this match
- Zürich's Poor Away Defense: With an average of 2.44 goals conceded per away game, Zürich's defense is a major liability on the road
Overview
In the Zurich derby, Grasshopper (11th place, 21 points) hosts Zürich (9th place, 28 points)
The Super League match will take place on February 21, 2026, at 8:30 PM at Stadion Letzigrund
Both teams are in the bottom half of the table and are looking to score points in this prestigious clash
Form
Grasshopper is winless in their last five matches (Form: DDDLD) with 0 wins, 4 draws, and 1 loss
Zürich has lost four of their last five games (Form: LLLWL), recording 1 win and 4 losses
Both teams are in a form crisis
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
Statistics
Both teams have weak defenses: Grasshopper concedes an average of 1.80 goals per game, while Zürich concedes 1.96
Offensively, Zürich is slightly more dangerous with 1.48 goals per game compared to Grasshopper's 1.32
Zürich's defense is particularly vulnerable away from home, conceding an average of 2.44 goals per match
Both teams scored in 16 of Grasshopper's 25 games, and in 17 of Zürich's 25 games
Head-to-Head
In the last five head-to-head encounters, Zürich had the upper hand with 3 wins, while Grasshopper won once, and 1 match ended in a draw
The goal difference is 7:5 in favor of Zürich
The last meeting was won by Zürich 1-0
Key Players
For Grasshopper, Jonathan Asp Jensen is the key man in attack with 7 season goals and 5 assists
Tim Meyer has contributed 1 goal and 2 assists from midfield
For Zürich, Philippe Paulin Keny is the top scorer with 10 goals
Bledian Krasniqi is a key provider with 6 assists, while Damienus Reverson has already scored 4 goals
Goalkeepers
Grasshopper's Justin Hammel has kept 3 clean sheets in 25 games this season
Zürich has kept a total of 2 clean sheets this season
Influences
The Stadion Letzigrund has recently been the scene of high-scoring games
An average of 3.8 goals were scored in the last five matches
In 4 of these 5 games, both teams scored