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Super League

Lausanne Sport - Grasshopper

07/25/2026, 04:00 PM

1 : 1
Expected Goals
Lausanne Sport
1.8
Total xG
3.0
Grasshopper
1.2
Most Likely Scores

1:1

12%

2:1

10%

2:0

8%

1:2

7%

2:2

6%
What influences the xG?
LSGRA

Lausanne Sport

4 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (1.2 goals/match)
-0.10
Declining form (1.2 vs 1.5 season average)
-0.10
Alban Ajdini on the bench (1 goals, 1 assists)
Strong home record (1.9 vs 1.5 goals/match)

Grasshopper

3 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (1.6 goals/match)
+0.09
Rising form (1.6 vs 1.3 season average)
+0.09
Jonathan Asp Jensen not in squad (8 goals, 7 assists)
Dirk Abels not in squad (3 goals, 1 assists)
Lovro Zvonarek not in squad (2 goals, 2 assists)
28% of goal output missing (only 55% available)

League

High-scoring league (3.3 goals/match)
+0.79
+0.79
The Lab
Statistical patterns from recent matches
  • 1
    Lausanne Sport: 6 consecutive games with 3+ goals (last 8 games)

  • 2
    Lausanne Sport with Gaoussou Diakité: 0.4 goals/game. Without: 2 goals/game (5 of 8 games)

  • 3
    Grasshopper with Luka Mikulić: 1 goals/game. Without: 2 goals/game (6 of 8 games)

  • 4
    Grasshopper: 3 consecutive games with 3+ goals (last 8 games)

Model Probabilities

Match Result

Home Win

48%

Draw

26%

Away Win

25%

Goals

Over 1.5

81%

Under 1.5

19%

Over 2.5

57%

Under 2.5

43%

Over 3.5

35%

Under 3.5

65%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

75%

Away or Draw

52%

No Draw

74%

Both Score

Yes

60%

No

40%

Key Factors
  • Mathematical home advantage: The model calculates a home win probability of 48% and expects 1.75 goals for Lausanne Sport
  • Lausanne Sport averaged 5.6 shots on target in recent matches, demonstrating offensive strength
  • Grasshopper is currently scoring more frequently (1.6 goals on average) than their season average (1.3) and arrives with two consecutive wins
Risk Factors
  • Jonathan Asp Jensen, Dirk Abels, and Lovro Zvonarek are missing, leaving only 56% of the usual starting XI strength available
  • Grasshopper concedes an average of 2.35 goals per away match
  • Lausanne Sport's goal production is currently stalling at an average of 1.2 goals compared to their season average of 1.5
Overview

Lausanne Sport host Grasshopper at the Stade de la Tuilière

Super League match on July 25, 2026, 6:00 PM

A clash of table neighbors to start the season

Lausanne Sport occupies 7th place, while Grasshopper starts in 8th place

Form

Lausanne Sport shows weak form with four losses in their last five matches

The form code is WLLLL (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

Grasshopper arrives with two consecutive wins

The form code is LLLWW

Statistics

Lausanne Sport scored 53 goals and conceded 67 during the season

Their home record shows a balanced 33 goals scored and 33 goals conceded

Grasshopper scored 48 goals and conceded 74 in total

Away from home, the visitors conceded an average of 2.35 goals per game

Head-to-Head

Five head-to-head matches in recent history

Grasshopper leads with two wins compared to one for Lausanne Sport, with two draws

The last direct meeting ended in a 1-3 win for Grasshopper

Key Players

Omar Janneh leads the offense with 8 goals this season and a 7.02 rating

Nathan Butler-Oyedeji has contributed 4 goals and 3 assists

Olivier Custodio impresses in midfield with 3 goals and 4 assists

Nikolas Muci is a key attacker with 3 goals

Tim Meyer has recorded 1 goal and 2 assists

Samuel Krasniqi also stands at 1 goal and 2 assists

Goalkeepers

M. Mastil starts in goal for the home side, which recorded 6 clean sheets this season

Justin Hammel guards the net for Grasshopper, appearing in 37 games this season

Grasshopper achieved 5 clean sheets over the course of the season

Influences

Home advantage at the Stade de la Tuilière favors Lausanne Sport

Venue statistics show an average of 3.2 goals per game

More than 2.5 goals were scored in 80% of the matches at this venue

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