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Super League

Zürich - Servette

08/01/2026, 04:00 PM

2 : 1
Expected Goals
Zürich
1.0
Total xG
2.7
Servette
1.7
Most Likely Scores

1:1

13%

0:2

10%

1:2

10%

0:3

6%

1:3

5%
What influences the xG?
ZÜRSER

Zürich

Attack weakness (0.66x league average)
-0.99
3 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (1 goals/match)
-0.08
Declining form (1 vs 1.3 season average)
-0.08
Cheveyo Tsawa not in squad (2 goals, 2 assists)
Ivan Cavaleiro not in squad (3 goals, 1 assists)
Juan José Perea on the bench (2 goals, 0 assists)
Nelson Palacio not in squad (0 goals, 2 assists)
Alexander Hack on the bench (1 goals, 1 assists)
15% of goal output missing (only 93% available)
Strong home record (1.7 vs 1.3 goals/match)

Servette

Defensive strength (1.7 conceded vs 1.5 league avg)
+0.20
3 clean sheets in last 5 matches
-0.15
4 of last 5 matches with 2+ goals (1.8 goals/match)
+0.01
Junior Kadile not in squad (6 goals, 10 assists)
Samuel Mraz on the bench (10 goals, 2 assists)
David Douline on the bench (4 goals, 2 assists)
Thomas Lopes not in squad (4 goals, 2 assists)
Houboulang Mendes on the bench (0 goals, 4 assists)
Lamine Fomba on the bench (1 goals, 3 assists)
19% of goal output missing (only 80% available)

League

High-scoring league (3.2 goals/match)
+0.67
+0.67
The Lab
Statistical patterns from recent matches
  • 1
    Servette: first goal in 7 of 8 games (88%)

  • 2
    Zürich with Alexander Hack: 1 goals/game. Without: 0 goals/game (6 of 8 games)

  • 3
    Servette: scored only after the break in 3 of 8 games

  • 4
    Zürich: 3 consecutive games with 3+ goals (last 8 games)

  • 5
    Servette with Jérémy Guillemenot: 2.6 goals/game. Without: 1.3 goals/game (5 of 8 games)

Model Probabilities

Match Result

Home Win

20%

Draw

27%

Away Win

53%

Goals

Over 1.5

76%

Under 1.5

24%

Over 2.5

50%

Under 2.5

50%

Over 3.5

28%

Under 3.5

72%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

47%

Away or Draw

80%

No Draw

73%

Both Score

Yes

52%

No

48%

Key Factors
  • Tactical dominance: Servette averaged 5.6 shots on target in recent matches, compared to Zürich's 3.8
  • Historical advantage: Servette won 3 of the last 5 head-to-head matches, backed by a 53% away win probability from the model
  • Defensive weakness meets offensive strength: Zürich conceded an average of 1.89 goals per game last season, while Servette averaged 1.87 goals scored
Risk Factors
  • Servette must play without key contributors like Junior Kadile (6 goals, 10 assists) and Samuel Mraz (10 goals, 2 assists)
  • Zürich's offensive output is currently struggling, with only 1.0 goals in recent matches compared to their season average of 1.3
Overview

Zürich host Servette at the Stadion Letzigrund

Super League match on August 1, 2026, 6:00 PM

Both teams seek their first win of the season after opening defeats

Zürich currently occupy 9th place, while Servette sit in 10th place

Form

Zürich show a negative trend with the form sequence DWLLL

The home side recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses in their last 5 matches

Servette present a more stable record of WDWWL

The visitors achieved 3 wins, 1 draw, and suffered 1 defeat in this period

Form code: W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

Statistics

Zürich's defense is vulnerable, conceding an average of 1.89 goals per game last season

The home team scored an average of 1.29 goals per game

Servette are offensively strong with an average of 1.87 goals scored per game

The visitors conceded an average of 1.66 goals and recorded 9 clean sheets

Head-to-Head

Five head-to-head matches in recent history

Servette dominate the record with 3 wins compared to 1 win for Zürich and 1 draw

The last encounter on May 16, 2026, ended in a 2-0 away victory for Servette

Servette scored 9 goals in these matches, while Zürich managed 5 goals

Key Players

Philippe Paulin Keny is Zürich's top threat with 13 season goals and 4 assists

Bledian Krasniqi controls the midfield with 6 assists

Miroslav Stevanovic shines for Servette with 14 goals and 7 assists

Florian Ayé has contributed 11 goals to the visitors' attack

Goalkeepers

Heinz Lindner starts in goal for Zürich with Silas Huber out injured

Edvinas Gertmonas takes the spot for Servette as Jérémy Frick underwent surgery

Zürich kept only 2 clean sheets in the previous season, while Servette recorded 9 clean sheets

Influences

Stadion Letzigrund features a natural grass surface

The historical average at the venue stands at 3.0 goals per game

Zürich average 1.32 scored and 1.64 conceded goals in home games

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