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Super League

Vaduz - St. Gallen

08/02/2026, 12:00 PM

2 : 3
Expected Goals
Vaduz
1.0
Total xG
1.8
St. Gallen
0.8
Most Likely Scores

0:0

18%

1:1

15%

1:0

14%

0:1

12%

2:0

8%
What influences the xG?
VADSG

Vaduz

Small sample (0 matches) - regression to mean
-2.00
Attack strength (1.68x league average)
+1.67
Defensive strength (1.2 conceded vs 1.3 league avg)
-0.16
3 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (1.4 goals/match)
+0.07
Full strength squad available

St. Gallen

Defensive weakness (1.4 conceded vs 1.9 league avg)
-0.51
3 of last 5 matches with 2+ goals (1.6 goals/match)
-0.10
Hugo Vandermersch on the bench (2 goals, 2 assists)
Tom Gaal not in squad (1 goals, 2 assists)
Mihailo Stevanovic on the bench (2 goals, 1 assists)

League

High-scoring league (3.2 goals/match)
+0.72
+0.72
The Lab
Statistical patterns from recent matches
  • 1
    St. Gallen: scored only in H2 in 3 consecutive games (5 of 8 total)

  • 2
    St. Gallen: 94% of xG value comes in the second half (last 6 games with xG data)

  • 3
    St. Gallen: 5 of 8 games without conceding in H1, but only 0 over 90 minutes

  • 4
    St. Gallen: 4 consecutive games with 3+ goals (last 8 games)

  • 5
    St. Gallen: 50% of all goals between minutes 61-75 (6 of 12)

Model Probabilities

Match Result

Home Win

37%

Draw

36%

Away Win

27%

Goals

Over 1.5

56%

Under 1.5

44%

Over 2.5

28%

Under 2.5

72%

Over 3.5

11%

Under 3.5

89%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

73%

Away or Draw

63%

No Draw

64%

Both Score

Yes

37%

No

63%

Key Factors
  • Mathematical analysis estimates a 73% probability for a home win or draw (1X)
  • St. Gallen must play without injured starting goalkeeper L. Ati-Zigi
  • Vaduz recently dominated possession with an average of 58% and 4.8 shots on target
Risk Factors
  • Both teams face a very short recovery window with only 3 days since their last match
  • St. Gallen has a long list of absences with 9 players ruled out or doubtful
  • Limited data availability regarding the recent individual player form of Vaduz
Overview

Vaduz host St. Gallen at the Rheinpark Stadion

Super League match on August 2, 2026, 2:00 PM

Ninth-placed Vaduz face fourth-placed St. Gallen

Form

Vaduz form: LLWLW (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

St. Gallen form: WDWWL

Vaduz recorded 2 wins and 3 losses in their last 5 games

St. Gallen recently recorded 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss

Statistics

Vaduz averaged 3.0 goals scored per match this season and conceded 0.0 goals

St. Gallen averaged 1.89 goals scored and 1.24 goals conceded per game

Rheinpark Stadion has averaged 2.8 goals per match in recent fixtures

Key Players

Liridon Berisha has an average rating of 7.22 at the stadium

Denis Simani has played 4 home matches with a rating of 6.80

Benjamin Büchel has made 9 appearances at the stadium with a rating of 6.48

Lukas Görtler scored 9 goals and provided 8 assists this season

Carlo Boukhalfa registered 12 goals and 3 assists this season

Aliou Baldé has scored 11 goals in the current campaign

Goalkeepers

Benjamin Büchel starts in goal for Vaduz with a 6.48 average stadium rating

Lukas Watkowiak starts for St. Gallen with a season rating average of 7.17

Influences

The match will be played on a grass pitch

In recent matches at Rheinpark Stadion, both teams scored in 0% of the games

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