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Super League

Sion - Vaduz

08/09/2026, 02:30 PM

3 : 2
Expected Goals
Sion
1.8
Total xG
3.3
Vaduz
1.4
Most Likely Scores

1:1

11%

2:1

9%

1:2

7%

2:2

7%

2:0

6%
What influences the xG?
SIOVAD

Sion

Attack strength (1.43x league average)
+0.37
Defensive strength (1.2 conceded vs 1.6 league avg)
-0.36
4 of last 5 matches with 2+ goals (2.4 goals/match)
+0.14
Rising form (2.4 vs 1.9 season average)
+0.14
Ilyas Chouaref on the bench (9 goals, 8 assists)
Winsley Boteli on the bench (8 goals, 0 assists)
Nias Hefti on the bench (0 goals, 6 assists)
Ali Kabacalman on the bench (3 goals, 2 assists)
Franck Surdez on the bench (1 goals, 3 assists)
27% of goal output missing (only 65% available)

Vaduz

Attack weakness (0.57x league average)
-1.36
Small sample (0 matches) - regression to mean
+0.88
3 of last 5 matches with 2+ goals (2 goals/match)
+0.23
Rising form (2 vs 1.2 season average)
+0.23
Full strength squad available

League

High-scoring league (3.5 goals/match)
+1.00
+1.00
The Lab
Statistical patterns from recent matches
  • 1
    Sion: 4 consecutive games with 3+ goals (last 8 games)

Model Probabilities

Match Result

Home Win

46%

Draw

25%

Away Win

29%

Goals

Over 1.5

85%

Under 1.5

15%

Over 2.5

64%

Under 2.5

36%

Over 3.5

42%

Under 3.5

58%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

71%

Away or Draw

54%

No Draw

75%

Both Score

Yes

66%

No

34%

Key Factors
  • Sion recently averaged 18.4 total shots and 6.8 shots on target with 56.6% possession
  • The mathematical model predicts a 46% home win probability and expects 1.85 goals for Sion
  • Both teams are scoring more than their season average: Sion recently scored 2.4 goals (season average 1.9), Vaduz 2.0 goals (season average 1.3)
Risk Factors
  • Sion is missing key players like Ilyas Chouaref and Winsley Boteli, leaving only 66% of the usual starting XI strength available
  • Both teams face a short recovery period of only 3 days since their last competitive match
  • Vaduz concedes an average of 2.0 goals away with limited data available on away player statistics
Overview

Sion host Vaduz at the Stade de Tourbillon

Super League match on August 9, 2026, 4:30 PM

Sion is in 5th place with 3 points, while Vaduz sits in 11th place with 0 points

Form

Sion holds a form of DLWWD with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

Vaduz has a form of WLWLL with 2 wins and 3 losses

Both sides show a positive recent trend in scoring

Statistics

Sion scores an average of 1.71 goals at home and concedes 0.82 goals

Vaduz scores an average of 3.0 goals away but concedes 2.0 goals per game

The venue average stands at 3.2 goals per game

Goalkeepers

Anthony Racioppi guards the goal for Sion with an average rating of 7.1

Sion has recorded 15 clean sheets this season, while Vaduz has kept 2 clean sheets

Influences

The match is played on natural grass at the Stade de Tourbillon

Sion's historical home record features a low 20% BTTS rate with 80% of matches ending over 2.5 goals

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