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Super League

Thun - Servette

09/16/2026, 05:00 PM

2 : 4
Expected Goals
Thun
1.5
Total xG
3.3
Servette
1.8
Most Likely Scores

1:1

11%

1:2

9%

2:1

7%

2:2

7%

0:2

6%
What influences the xG?
THUSER

Thun

Attack weakness (0.6x league average)
-1.13
Small sample (3 matches) - regression to mean
+0.76
3 of last 5 matches with 2+ goals (1.6 goals/match)
-0.14
Furkan Dursun on the bench (1 goals, 3 assists)

Servette

Defensive strength (1.6 conceded vs 1.9 league avg)
-0.29
4 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (0.8 goals/match)
-0.25
Declining form (0.8 vs 1.6 season average)
-0.25
Small sample (3 matches) - regression to mean
+0.13
TimothƩ Cognat on the bench (0 goals, 2 assists)

League

High-scoring league (3.8 goals/match)
+1.28
+1.28
The Lab
Statistical patterns from recent matches
  • 1
    Thun: 9 consecutive games with 3+ goals (last 12 games)

  • 2
    Thun: dropped a lead in 4 of 7 games (11 points lost)

  • 3
    Thun: goal in the first 15 minutes in 5 of 12 games (42%)

Model Probabilities

Match Result

Home Win

31%

Draw

25%

Away Win

44%

Goals

Over 1.5

85%

Under 1.5

15%

Over 2.5

64%

Under 2.5

36%

Over 3.5

42%

Under 3.5

58%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

56%

Away or Draw

69%

No Draw

75%

Both Score

Yes

66%

No

34%

Key Factors
  • Historical dominance: Thun won all 3 previous head-to-head encounters against Servette
  • Servette's offensive struggles: Advanced stats show Servette's goal production stalling at 0.8 goals per game recently compared to their season average of 1.64
  • Balanced tactical metrics: Servette averaged 4.4 shots on target with 51% possession in recent matches, while Thun averaged 3.4 shots on target with 48% possession
Risk Factors
  • Key absence: TimothĆ© Cognat is injured for Servette, leaving the team with only 80% of their usual starting XI strength
  • Fatigue factor: Servette enter this fixture with only 3 days of rest since their last match
  • Defensive leaks: Servette concede an average of 1.89 goals per away game
Overview

Thun (10th place, 7 points) host Servette (9th place, 7 points) at the Stockhorn Arena

Super League match on September 16, 2026, 6:00 PM

A direct clash between table neighbors looking to connect with the midfield

Form

Thun's recent form shows a downward trend with a DWDLL sequence

Servette travel with a WDLLW form and won their last match

Thun recorded one win, two draws, and two losses in their last 5 games

Servette registered two wins, one draw, and two losses in their last 5 games

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

Statistics

Thun score an average of 2.11 goals per game this season and concede 1.37 goals

Servette average 1.87 goals scored and 1.66 goals conceded per match

Thun average 2.14 goals scored and 1.38 conceded in home matches

Servette concede an average of 1.89 goals per game on the road while scoring 1.89

Head-to-Head

There have been 3 head-to-head matches so far

Thun dominate the historical record with 3 wins and 0 losses

The goal difference stands at 7:2 in favor of Thun

The last meeting on February 8, 2026, ended in a 3-1 win for Thun

Key Players

Brighton Labeau has scored 3 goals this season with an average rating of 7.00

Fabio Fehr recorded 1 goal and 1 assist

Nils Reichmuth contributed 1 goal

Miroslav Stevanovic scored 1 goal and holds a rating of 7.11

Mathis Lambourde recorded 1 goal so far

Kingstone Mutandwa also contributed 1 goal

Goalkeepers

Niklas Steffen played 7 games in goal with an average rating of 6.73

Edvinas Gertmonas played 5 matches with an average rating of 6.87

Thun recorded 6 clean sheets this season

Servette achieved 9 clean sheets in the current campaign

Influences

The match will be played at the Stockhorn Arena on artificial turf

Thun's record on artificial turf is 3 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses with a 17:21 goal difference

Servette lost their only game on artificial turf so far by 1-3

Matches at the Stockhorn Arena average 2.8 goals per game

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