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Super League

Luzern - Lausanne Sport

08/22/2026, 04:00 PM

1 : 0
Expected Goals
Luzern
1.7
Total xG
2.7
Lausanne Sport
1.0
Most Likely Scores

1:1

13%

2:0

10%

2:1

10%

1:2

6%

3:0

6%
What influences the xG?
LUZLS

Luzern

3 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (1.4 goals/match)
-0.17
Declining form (1.4 vs 2 season average)
-0.17
Defensive strength (1.8 conceded vs 2 league avg)
-0.15
Lucas Manuel Silva Ferreira on the bench (7 goals, 3 assists)
Rúben Dantas Fernandes on the bench (0 goals, 2 assists)
20% of goal output missing (only 87% available)

Lausanne Sport

Attack weakness (0.45x league average)
-1.16
4 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (1 goals/match)
-0.16
Declining form (1 vs 1.5 season average)
-0.16
Beyatt Lekoueiry not in squad (4 goals, 2 assists)
Kévin Mouanga not in squad (1 goals, 1 assists)
12% of goal output missing (only 89% available)
Weak away record (1.2 vs 1.5 goals/match)

League

High-scoring league (3.8 goals/match)
+1.33
+1.33
The Lab
Statistical patterns from recent matches
  • 1
    Luzern: scored only in H2 in 4 consecutive games (5 of 8 total)

  • 2
    Lausanne Sport with Beyatt Lekoueiry: 0.8 goals/game. Without: 2.5 goals/game (6 of 8 games)

  • 3
    Lausanne Sport: 6 of 8 games without conceding in H1, but only 2 over 90 minutes

  • 4
    Lausanne Sport: scored only after the break in 4 of 8 games

  • 5
    Luzern: 73% of xG value comes in the second half (last 8 games with xG data)

Model Probabilities

Match Result

Home Win

52%

Draw

27%

Away Win

21%

Goals

Over 1.5

76%

Under 1.5

24%

Over 2.5

50%

Under 2.5

50%

Over 3.5

28%

Under 3.5

72%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

79%

Away or Draw

48%

No Draw

73%

Both Score

Yes

53%

No

47%

Key Factors
  • Luzern recently averaged 4.6 shots on target per match compared to just 2.6 for Lausanne Sport
  • Lausanne Sport conceded an average of 2.43 goals per away match this season
  • The mathematical model predicts a home win probability of 52% for Luzern
Risk Factors
  • Luzern's goal scoring has stalled recently, averaging 1.4 goals compared to their season average of 2.0
  • Lucas Manuel Silva Ferreira (7 goals, 3 assists) is not in Luzern's squad
  • Lausanne Sport recently averaged only 2.6 shots on target per match
Overview

Luzern host Lausanne Sport at the swissporarena

Super League match on August 22, 2026, 6:00 PM

Luzern sit in 11th place with 1 point, while Lausanne Sport are 6th with 5 points

The hosts aim for their first win of the season after a slow start

Form

Luzern's form is WWLLD (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

Most recently, they recorded a 2-2 draw against St. Gallen

Lausanne Sport's form is LLDWD

The visitors recently drew 2-2 against Young Boys

Statistics

Luzern scored an average of 2.0 goals and conceded 1.74 goals per game this season

In home matches, Luzern averaged 2.0 goals scored and 1.81 goals conceded

Lausanne Sport averaged 1.39 goals scored and 1.76 goals conceded per game this season

In away matches, the visitors conceded an average of 2.43 goals while scoring 1.43

Head-to-Head

Luzern dominated the last 5 head-to-head matches with 3 wins and 2 draws

In these games, Luzern scored 14 goals, while Lausanne Sport scored 4

The last encounter ended in a 3-1 victory for Luzern

Key Players

Matteo Di Giusto recorded 12 goals and 12 assists this season

Oscar Kabwit scored 11 goals and provided 5 assists so far

Pius Dorn contributed 4 goals and 4 assists

Omar Janneh scored 8 goals and provided 1 assist this season

Nathan Butler-Oyedeji recorded 4 goals and 3 assists

Florent Mollet contributed 2 goals and 1 assist

Goalkeepers

Karlo Letica is in goal for Luzern, who achieved 7 clean sheets this season

M. Mastil is in goal for Lausanne Sport, who recorded 6 clean sheets this season

Influences

Luzern benefit from home advantage at the swissporarena, where the team averaged 2.0 goals scored this season

The venue's history shows an average of 3.8 goals per match with an Over 2.5 rate of 80%

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