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Super League

Zürich - Basel

08/22/2026, 06:30 PM

1 : 2
Expected Goals
Zürich
1.4
Total xG
2.9
Basel
1.6
Most Likely Scores

1:1

13%

1:2

9%

2:1

8%

0:2

7%

2:2

6%
What influences the xG?
ZÜRBAS

Zürich

Attack weakness (0.56x league average)
-0.71
4 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (0.6 goals/match)
-0.20
Declining form (0.6 vs 1.3 season average)
-0.20
Standings disadvantage (pos 10 vs 4, 6 places gap)
-0.09
Valon Berisha on the bench (0 goals, 2 assists)
Ilan Sauter on the bench (2 goals, 0 assists)
12% of goal output missing (only 93% available)
Strong home record (1.7 vs 1.3 goals/match)

Basel

4 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (1.2 goals/match)
-0.08
Standings advantage (pos 4 vs 10, 6 places gap)
+0.04
Xherdan Shaqiri   on the bench (11 goals, 10 assists)
Léo Leroy not in squad (1 goals, 1 assists)
70% of goal output missing (only 20% available)

League

High-scoring league (3.8 goals/match)
+1.33
+1.33
The Lab
Statistical patterns from recent matches
  • 1
    Basel: 5 of 8 games without conceding in H1, but only 1 over 90 minutes

  • 2
    Basel with Nicolas Vouilloz: 1.3 goals/game. Without: 0.5 goals/game (6 of 8 games)

  • 3
    Basel: 4 consecutive games with 3+ goals (last 8 games)

  • 4
    Zürich with Juan José Perea: 0.7 goals/game. Without: 1.5 goals/game (6 of 8 games)

  • 5
    Basel: 67% of xG value comes in the second half (last 8 games with xG data)

Model Probabilities

Match Result

Home Win

32%

Draw

28%

Away Win

40%

Goals

Over 1.5

80%

Under 1.5

20%

Over 2.5

56%

Under 2.5

44%

Over 3.5

33%

Under 3.5

67%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

60%

Away or Draw

68%

No Draw

72%

Both Score

Yes

60%

No

40%

Key Factors
  • Historical superiority: Basel won all of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Zürich with a goal difference of 13-4
  • Only 20% of Basel's goal threat available, without Xherdan Shaqiri and Léo Leroy
  • Zürich averaged only 2.8 shots on target recently and scored just 0.6 goals per match in their recent form trend
Risk Factors
  • Huge loss of quality for Basel due to the absence of key attacking players
  • Basel concedes an average of 2.06 goals per away match this season
  • Zürich's defense is vulnerable with an average of 1.89 goals conceded per season match
Overview

Zürich hosts Basel at the Stadion Letzigrund

Super League match on August 22, 2026, 8:30 PM

Zürich currently occupies the 8th position with 3 points

Basel is in 5th place with 6 points

Form

Zürich's form in recent games is LLLWL with 1 win and 4 losses

Zürich lost their last match against Lugano 0-5

Basel's form is LLWLW with 2 wins and 3 losses

Basel won their last match against Thun 4-2

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

Statistics

Zürich averages 1.29 goals scored and 1.89 goals conceded per season

In home games Zürich scores an average of 1.32 goals and concedes 1.64

Basel averages 1.45 goals scored and 1.53 goals conceded per game

In away matches Basel concedes an average of 2.06 goals

Zürich recorded 2 clean sheets this season

Basel kept 9 clean sheets so far this season

Head-to-Head

Zürich and Basel played 5 head-to-head matches

Basel dominated recent encounters with 5 wins

The goal difference is 4-13 in favor of Basel

The last direct duel ended 2-1 for Basel

Key Players

Philippe Paulin Keny scored 13 goals and provided 4 assists this season

Bledian Krasniqi provided 6 assists so far this season

Umeh Emmanuel scored 2 goals and provided 4 assists

Metinho recorded 3 goals this season

Flavius Daniliuc contributed 2 goals this season

Keigo Tsunemoto scored 1 goal and provided 1 assist

Goalkeepers

Heinz Lindner plays in goal for Zürich

Mirko Salvi plays in goal for Basel

Basel recorded 9 clean sheets this season

Zürich kept 2 clean sheets so far this season

Influences

The match is played on natural grass

Stadion Letzigrund averaged 3.6 goals per game this season

Both teams scored in 80% of the matches at Stadion Letzigrund

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