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Super League

Sion - Lugano

08/30/2026, 12:00 PM

1 : 2
Expected Goals
Sion
1.7
Total xG
3.1
Lugano
1.3
Most Likely Scores

1:1

12%

2:1

9%

1:2

7%

2:0

7%

2:2

6%
What influences the xG?
SIOLUG

Sion

Defensive strength (1.4 conceded vs 2 league avg)
-0.63
5 of last 5 matches with 2+ goals (2.4 goals/match)
+0.13
Rising form (2.4 vs 2 season average)
+0.13
Rilind Nivokazi on the bench (13 goals, 5 assists)
Ilyas Chouaref on the bench (9 goals, 8 assists)
Nias Hefti on the bench (0 goals, 6 assists)
Franck Surdez on the bench (1 goals, 3 assists)
42% of goal output missing (only 51% available)

Lugano

Attack weakness (0.77x league average)
-0.65
Defensive strength (1.2 conceded vs 1.8 league avg)
-0.64
4 of last 5 matches with 2+ goals (2.4 goals/match)
+0.17
Rising form (2.4 vs 1.8 season average)
+0.17
Kevin Behrens not in squad (13 goals, 2 assists)
Renato Steffen on the bench (8 goals, 3 assists)
Uran Bislimi on the bench (5 goals, 3 assists)
55% of goal output missing (only 59% available)
Weak away record (1.3 vs 1.8 goals/match)

League

High-scoring league (3.8 goals/match)
+1.33
+1.33
The Lab
Statistical patterns from recent matches
  • 1
    Sion: 8 consecutive games with 3+ goals (last 12 games)

  • 2
    Lugano: first goal in 9 of 12 games (75%)

  • 3
    Lugano: 3 comebacks in 4 games after trailing past minute 75 (3 points rescued)

  • 4
    Lugano: 3 consecutive games with 3+ goals (last 12 games)

  • 5
    Sion: 7 of 21 goals scored by substitutes (last 9 games)

  • 6
    Yanis Cimignani: 3 of 3 goals after minute 60 (last 12 games)

Model Probabilities

Match Result

Home Win

46%

Draw

26%

Away Win

28%

Goals

Over 1.5

83%

Under 1.5

17%

Over 2.5

59%

Under 2.5

41%

Over 3.5

37%

Under 3.5

63%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

72%

Away or Draw

54%

No Draw

74%

Both Score

Yes

62%

No

38%

Key Factors
  • Only 52% of the goal threat is available, without Rilind Nivokazi, Ilyas Chouaref, Nias Hefti, and Franck Surdez
  • Lugano averaged 6.0 shots on target with 55% possession in recent matches
  • Lugano enters undefeated with 3 wins and 2 draws in their last five matches while Sion suffered two consecutive losses
Risk Factors
  • Kevin Behrens, Renato Steffen, and Uran Bislimi are missing, only 59% of the goal threat is available
  • Sion and Lugano enter the game with only 3 days of rest since their last match
  • Sion's defense has been highly vulnerable recently, conceding an average of 2.8 goals per game in their past matches
Overview

Sion hosts Lugano at the Stade de Tourbillon

Super League match on August 30, 2026, 2:00 PM

Sion is in 5th place with 6 points while Lugano occupies 3rd place with 9 points

An important clash in the upper part of the table

Form

Sion shows a form of DWWLL with two consecutive losses in their recent matches

Lugano arrives undefeated with a form of WWDWD

The visitors have recorded 3 wins and 2 draws in their last five games

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

Statistics

Sion scored an average of 1.66 goals and conceded 1.05 goals per game this season

At home, Sion averaged 1.71 goals scored and only 0.82 goals conceded

Lugano scored an average of 1.53 goals and conceded 1.47 goals in away matches

Sion kept 9 clean sheets in their home matches

Head-to-Head

There have been 5 head-to-head matches overall

Sion won 2 matches, Lugano won 1, and 2 ended in a draw

The last meeting ended in a 2:2 draw

Sion scored 10 goals in these duels while Lugano scored 6

Key Players

Winsley Boteli scored 8 goals in 23 matches and shows a rising trend with 4 goals in his last 5 appearances

Donat Rrudhani contributed 3 goals and 1 assist in 21 games

Daniel Dos Santos shines for Lugano with 4 goals and 10 assists in 31 season appearances

Goalkeepers

Anthony Racioppi played 38 games for Sion and helped secure 9 home clean sheets

David von Ballmoos played 15 matches for Lugano and registered one assist in his recent games

Both goalkeepers have solid season ratings above 7.1

Influences

Stade de Tourbillon features a natural grass pitch

The stadium saw an average of 4.2 goals per game in the last 5 matches played there

The mathematical model calculates a home win probability of 46% and 1.74 expected home goals

Both sides face a quick turnaround with only 3 days of rest since their last match

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