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Super League

Lausanne Sport - Zürich

08/29/2026, 04:00 PM

2 : 3
Expected Goals
Lausanne Sport
1.6
Total xG
2.6
Zürich
1.1
Most Likely Scores

1:1

14%

2:1

9%

2:0

9%

1:2

7%

2:2

5%
What influences the xG?
LSZÜR

Lausanne Sport

Attack weakness (0.8x league average)
-0.58
Defensive strength (1.6 conceded vs 2 league avg)
-0.44
4 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (1 goals/match)
-0.15
Declining form (1 vs 1.5 season average)
-0.15
Nathan Butler-Oyedeji on the bench (4 goals, 3 assists)
Beyatt Lekoueiry not in squad (4 goals, 2 assists)
Jamie Roche on the bench (3 goals, 1 assists)
Kévin Mouanga not in squad (1 goals, 1 assists)
34% of goal output missing (only 68% available)
Strong home record (1.9 vs 1.5 goals/match)

Zürich

Attack weakness (0.7x league average)
-0.92
4 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (0.8 goals/match)
-0.14
Declining form (0.8 vs 1.3 season average)
-0.14
Valon Berisha not in squad (0 goals, 2 assists)
Ilan Sauter on the bench (2 goals, 0 assists)

League

High-scoring league (3.8 goals/match)
+1.26
+1.26
The Lab
Statistical patterns from recent matches
  • 1
    Zürich: 4 consecutive games with 3+ goals (last 12 games)

  • 2
    Lausanne Sport: 3.2 cards per game (37 yellows, 1 reds in 12 games)

  • 3
    Lausanne Sport with Omar Janneh starting: 1.1 goals/game, without him: 0.5 (18/6 games, last 30)

  • 4
    Lausanne Sport: opponent scores first in 8 of 12 games (67%)

Model Probabilities

Match Result

Home Win

47%

Draw

28%

Away Win

25%

Goals

Over 1.5

76%

Under 1.5

24%

Over 2.5

49%

Under 2.5

51%

Over 3.5

27%

Under 3.5

73%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

75%

Away or Draw

53%

No Draw

72%

Both Score

Yes

54%

No

46%

Key Factors
  • Lausanne Sport dominated recent direct duels with 3 wins from the last 5 matches, including a 3-0 home win in April 2026
  • Zürich concedes an average of 2.25 goals per away match this season, making their defense highly vulnerable
  • The mathematical model favors Lausanne Sport with a home win probability of 47% and a 75% probability for the Double Chance home or draw
Risk Factors
  • Nathan Butler-Oyedeji, Beyatt Lekoueiry, Jamie Roche, Kévin Mouanga are missing, only 68% of the usual attacking threat is available
  • Lausanne Sport's goal production is faltering with 1.0 goals recently compared to their season average of 1.5
  • Lausanne Sport averaged only 2.8 shots on target in recent matches
Overview

Lausanne Sport (6th place, 5 points) vs Zürich (9th place, 3 points)

Super League match on August 29, 2026, 6:00 PM at Stade de la Tuilière

Mid-table clash with a slight advantage for the home side

Form

Lausanne Sport form is LDWDL (1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses in their last 5 matches)

Zürich form is LLWLL (1 win, 0 draws, 4 losses)

Both teams lost their last match

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

Statistics

Lausanne Sport averages 1.39 goals scored and 1.76 goals conceded this season

Zürich averages 1.29 goals scored and 1.89 goals conceded per match

Zürich concedes an average of 2.25 goals in away matches

Lausanne Sport scores an average of 1.38 goals per game at home

Head-to-Head

5 head-to-head matches overall

Lausanne Sport has 3 wins, Zürich has 1 win and 1 draw

Last match ended 3-0 for Lausanne Sport on April 25, 2026

Goal difference is 10-6 in favor of the home team

Key Players

Omar Janneh has recorded 8 goals and 1 assist with a rating of 7.02

Olivier Custodio contributes 3 goals and 4 assists with a rating of 7.05

Florent Mollet has 2 goals and 1 assist with a rating of 6.72

Philippe Paulin Keny has scored 13 goals and provided 4 assists with a rating of 7.02

Bledian Krasniqi has 6 assists and 1 goal with a rating of 6.66

Umeh Emmanuel recorded 2 goals and 4 assists with a rating of 6.57

Goalkeepers

M. Mastil goalkeeper for Lausanne Sport with a 6.72 rating at home

Lausanne Sport has kept 6 clean sheets so far this season

Silas Huber made 16 appearances for Zürich with an average rating of 6.82

Zürich has recorded a total of 2 clean sheets in the current season

Influences

Average of 3.4 goals per match at the Stade de la Tuilière

Both teams scored in 80% of the matches at this venue

Lausanne Sport averages 1.38 goals scored and 1.38 goals conceded per home game

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