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Super League

Servette - Luzern

08/29/2026, 04:00 PM

1 : 1
Expected Goals
Servette
1.6
Total xG
2.6
Luzern
1.1
Most Likely Scores

1:1

14%

2:1

9%

2:0

9%

1:2

6%

2:2

5%
What influences the xG?
SERLUZ

Servette

Defensive strength (1.7 conceded vs 2 league avg)
-0.30
3 of last 5 matches with 2+ goals (1.4 goals/match)
-0.10
Florian Ayé not in squad (11 goals, 2 assists)
Bradley Mazikou on the bench (0 goals, 4 assists)

Luzern

3 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (1.4 goals/match)
-0.17
Declining form (1.4 vs 2 season average)
-0.17
Defensive strength (1.8 conceded vs 1.8 league avg)
+0.04
Lucas Manuel Silva Ferreira on the bench (7 goals, 3 assists)
Rúben Dantas Fernandes on the bench (0 goals, 2 assists)
13% of goal output missing (only 91% available)

League

High-scoring league (3.8 goals/match)
+1.26
+1.26
The Lab
Statistical patterns from recent matches
  • 1
    Luzern: 6 consecutive games with 3+ goals (last 12 games)

  • 2
    Luzern: 73% of all goals in the second half (16 of 22, last 12 games)

Model Probabilities

Match Result

Home Win

48%

Draw

28%

Away Win

24%

Goals

Over 1.5

75%

Under 1.5

25%

Over 2.5

48%

Under 2.5

52%

Over 3.5

27%

Under 3.5

73%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

76%

Away or Draw

52%

No Draw

72%

Both Score

Yes

53%

No

47%

Key Factors
  • Mathematical home win probability calculated at 48%
  • Servette averaged 6.4 shots on target in recent matches
  • Luzern averaged 5.2 shots on target in recent games
Risk Factors
  • Both teams currently show a declining goal production of 1.4 goals per match according to advancedStats
  • Servette misses J. Kadile with 6 goals and 10 assists due to injury
  • Luzern concedes an average of 1.65 goals per away game
Overview

Servette hosts Luzern at the Stade de Genève

Super League match on August 29, 2026, 6:00 PM

A close battle in the standings between 8th and 7th place

Only one point separates both teams early in the season

Form

Servette recorded three wins and two losses in their recent form

Luzern registered two wins, one draw, and two losses in their run

Both teams managed to win their respective last league matches

Both teams show a negative trend in recent goal production

Statistics

Servette averaged 1.87 goals scored per game this season

Luzern scored an average of 2.00 goals per game in the league

Servette conceded an average of 1.66 goals per match

Luzern allowed an average of 1.74 goals per league game

Head-to-Head

There have been five head-to-head matches between these teams

Three of these direct encounters ended in a draw

The last match between them finished in a high-scoring 3-3 draw

The home side registered two wins in these recent meetings

Key Players

Miroslav Stevanovic stands out with 14 goals and 7 assists

Samuel Mraz added 10 goals and 2 assists for the home side

Matteo Di Giusto leads Luzern with 12 goals and 12 assists

Oscar Kabwit contributed 11 goals during this season

Goalkeepers

L. Besson is the starting goalkeeper for Servette

Karlo Letica will be guarding the net for the away team Luzern

Servette kept 9 clean sheets during the league campaign

Luzern recorded 7 clean sheets throughout the season

Influences

The match is played on natural grass at the Stade de Genève

The stadium averages 3.4 goals scored per game

Over 2.5 goals occurred in 60% of matches at this venue

Home advantage is present based on season statistics

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