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Super League

Vaduz - Grasshopper

08/30/2026, 02:30 PM

5 : 2
Expected Goals
Vaduz
1.5
Total xG
2.4
Grasshopper
0.9
Most Likely Scores

1:1

14%

1:0

12%

0:0

11%

2:0

10%

2:1

9%
What influences the xG?
VADGRA

Vaduz

Small sample (0 matches) - regression to mean
-0.20
4 of last 5 matches with 2+ goals (1.8 goals/match)
+0.10
Rising form (1.8 vs 1.4 season average)
+0.10
Defensive strength (1.9 conceded vs 2 league avg)
-0.09
Full strength squad available

Grasshopper

Attack weakness (0.6x league average)
-1.24
Defensive strength (2 conceded vs 1.8 league avg)
+0.19
3 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (1.8 goals/match)
+0.16
Rising form (1.8 vs 1.3 season average)
+0.16

League

High-scoring league (3.8 goals/match)
+1.33
+1.33
The Lab
Statistical patterns from recent matches
  • 1
    Grasshopper: dropped a lead in 6 of 9 games (18 points lost)

  • 2
    Grasshopper: 3 consecutive games with 3+ goals (last 12 games)

  • 3
    Vaduz: 5 consecutive games with 3+ goals (last 11 games)

  • 4
    Vaduz: goal in the first 15 minutes in 5 of 11 games (45%)

  • 5
    Vaduz: dropped a lead in 3 of 5 games (8 points lost)

  • 6
    Grasshopper: first goal in 8 of 12 games (67%)

Model Probabilities

Match Result

Home Win

49%

Draw

29%

Away Win

21%

Goals

Over 1.5

71%

Under 1.5

29%

Over 2.5

43%

Under 2.5

57%

Over 3.5

22%

Under 3.5

78%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

79%

Away or Draw

51%

No Draw

71%

Both Score

Yes

48%

No

52%

Key Factors
  • Vaduz averaged 5.8 shots on target in recent matches
  • Offensive trend: Vaduz currently scores more frequently (1.8 goals) than their season average (1.5 goals)
  • Mathematical edge: The prediction model calculates a 49% probability for a home win
Risk Factors
  • Away defensive weakness: Grasshopper concede an average of 2.35 goals per away game
  • Limited data availability regarding Vaduz player statistics
  • Long break: Grasshopper with 22 days without competitive match practice before this game
Overview

Vaduz (12th place, 0 points) host Grasshopper (11th place, 1 point) at the Rheinpark Stadion

Super League match on August 30, 2026, 4:30 PM

Bottom of the table clash

The home team is still looking for their first points of the season

Form

Vaduz enter the match with a form of LLLDL in their last five matches

The home team recorded 0 wins, 1 draw, and 4 losses

Grasshopper travel with a form of WWDLL

The visitors registered 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

Statistics

Vaduz average 2.25 goals scored and 1.00 goal conceded per game this season

At the Rheinpark Stadion, Vaduz averaged 2.00 goals scored and 0.67 goals conceded

Grasshopper average 1.26 goals scored and 1.95 goals conceded per game this season

Away from home, the visitors conceded an average of 2.35 goals per match

Goalkeepers

Leon Schaffran starts in goal for Vaduz, averaging a rating of 5.97 at the Rheinpark Stadion

Justin Hammel is Grasshopper's goalkeeper, with a seasonal average rating of 6.67

Influences

The match will be played on grass at the Rheinpark Stadion

The stadium statistics show an average of 3.2 goals per game

Grasshopper had a much longer break with 22 days since their last match compared to Vaduz with 7 days

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