Super League
Basel - Sion
09/03/2026, 06:30 PM
Expected Goals
1.8
2.8
1.0
1:1
13%2:1
10%2:0
9%1:2
6%3:1
6%What influences the xG?
Basel
Sion
League
The Lab
- 1Sion: 9 consecutive games with 3+ goals (last 12 games)
- 2Basel: opponent scores first in 10 of 12 games (83%)
- 3Sion: 7 of 20 goals scored by substitutes (last 9 games)
- 4Basel: 4 consecutive games with 3+ goals (last 12 games)
- 5Sion: opponent scores first in 8 of 12 games (67%)
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
53%
Draw
26%
Away Win
21%
Goals
Over 1.5
78%
Under 1.5
22%
Over 2.5
53%
Under 2.5
47%
Over 3.5
31%
Under 3.5
69%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
79%
Away or Draw
47%
No Draw
74%
Both Score
Yes
55%
No
45%
Key Factors
- Mathematical analysis predicts a home win probability of 53% with 1.76 expected goals for Basel
- Basel show a much more stable recent form with 3 wins and only one loss in their last 5 matches compared to Sion
- Basel are offensively improved, currently averaging 2.0 goals compared to their season average of 1.5 goals
Risk Factors
- Squad restriction for Basel with only 18% of seasonal goal production available in the current lineup
- Sion are missing Rilind Nivokazi, Ilyas Chouaref and Franck Surdez, leaving only 59% of their usual goal threat available
- Sion have a shorter recovery period with only 4 days of rest since their last match
Overview
Basel in 3rd place with 10 points host Sion in 7th place with 6 points
Super League match on September 3, 2026, 8:30 PM at St. Jakob-Park
Basel aim to stay close to the top of the table
Form
Form Basel: WLWWD - 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in recent matches
Form Sion: WWLLL - 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses
Basel recently drew 3-3 against Young Boys
Sion lost their last match 1-2 against Lugano
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
Statistics
Basel average 1.45 goals scored and 1.53 goals conceded per game this season
In home matches Basel average 1.45 goals scored and 1.05 goals conceded
Sion average 1.66 goals scored and 1.05 goals conceded
Sion average 1.62 goals scored and 1.24 goals conceded away from home
Both teams scored in 23 of Basel's 38 games this season
Head-to-Head
5 head-to-head matches recorded
Both teams have 2 wins each with 1 draw
The goal difference is 4-5 from Basel's perspective
Sion won the last head-to-head match 2-0 away on April 26, 2026
Key Players
Asane Sow has 3 goals and 2 assists with a rating of 7.19 in 5 appearances
Zan Celar scored 3 goals and 1 assist in 5 matches with a 6.87 rating
Kazeem Olaigbe has 2 goals and 1 assist in 5 matches with a 6.98 rating
Winsley Boteli scored 8 goals in 23 matches with a 6.74 rating
Donat Rrudhani contributed 3 goals and 1 assist in 21 matches with a 6.93 rating
Ali Kabacalman has 3 goals and 2 assists in 37 matches with a 7.02 rating
Goalkeepers
Mirko Salvi played in 4 of the last 5 matches for Basel
Basel have kept 9 clean sheets in total this season
Anthony Racioppi played in 4 of the last 5 matches for Sion
Sion have kept 15 clean sheets this season
Influences
The home advantage at St. Jakob-Park is supported by the grass surface
Historical stadium statistics at St. Jakob-Park show an average of 3.4 goals per game
Both teams scored in 60% of historical matches at this stadium