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Super League

Zürich - Young Boys

09/01/2026, 06:30 PM

2 : 4
Expected Goals
Zürich
1.7
Total xG
3.7
Young Boys
2.0
Most Likely Scores

1:2

8%

2:2

7%

2:1

7%

1:3

6%

2:3

5%
What influences the xG?
ZÜRYB

Zürich

Attack weakness (0.48x league average)
-1.30
Small sample (2 matches) - regression to mean
+0.89
Defensive strength (2 conceded vs 2.1 league avg)
-0.16
3 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (1.4 goals/match)
+0.03
Valon Berisha on the bench (1 goals, 1 assists)
10% of goal output missing (only 83% available)

Young Boys

5 of last 5 matches with 2+ goals (3.8 goals/match)
+0.47
Rising form (3.8 vs 2.2 season average)
+0.47
Defensive strength (1.9 conceded vs 1.9 league avg)
-0.05
Small sample (2 matches) - regression to mean
+0.04
Attack strength (1.26x league average)
+0.03
Lewin Blum on the bench (2 goals, 3 assists)
Joël Monteiro not in squad (3 goals, 1 assists)
32% of goal output missing (only 71% available)

League

High-scoring league (4 goals/match)
+1.54
+1.54
The Lab
Statistical patterns from recent matches
  • 1
    Young Boys: 8 consecutive games with 3+ goals (last 12 games)

  • 2
    Zürich: 5 consecutive games with 3+ goals (last 12 games)

  • 3
    Young Boys with Samuel Essende starting: 2.9 goals/game, without him: 1.7 (15/12 games, last 30)

  • 4
    Christian Fassnacht: 3 of 3 goals after minute 60 (last 12 games)

  • 5
    Young Boys: first goal in 8 of 12 games (67%)

  • 6
    Zürich: opponent scores first in 8 of 12 games (67%)

Model Probabilities

Match Result

Home Win

32%

Draw

24%

Away Win

44%

Goals

Over 1.5

90%

Under 1.5

10%

Over 2.5

72%

Under 2.5

28%

Over 3.5

51%

Under 3.5

49%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

56%

Away or Draw

68%

No Draw

76%

Both Score

Yes

72%

No

28%

Key Factors
  • Attacking trend: Young Boys are currently scoring 3.8 goals on average recently, compared to their season average of 2.2
  • Shot accuracy: The visitors averaged 9.4 shots on target per match in their last 5 games
  • Head-to-head dominance: Young Boys won all last 5 head-to-head matches against Zürich, scoring 14 goals in the process
Risk Factors
  • Squad impact for Young Boys: Key players Lewin Blum (2G/3A) and Joël Monteiro (3G/1A) are missing, leaving only 71% of standard starting lineup strength
  • Fatigue factor: Both teams enter the match with a short recovery period of only 3 days since their previous fixture
  • Fragile away defense: Young Boys concede an average of 2.44 goals per game on their travels
Overview

Zürich face Young Boys at Stadion Letzigrund

Super League fixture on September 1, 2026, 8:30 PM

Zürich currently occupy 6th place with 6 points

Young Boys travel as the 2nd-placed team with 11 points

An exciting clash with crucial points at stake in the upper half of the table

Form

Zürich show inconsistent form with LWLLW (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

Their last match resulted in a 3-2 away win against Lausanne Sport

Young Boys arrive undefeated in their last five games with WWDWD form

In their last outing, they played out a high-scoring 3-3 draw against Basel

Statistics

Zürich concede an average of 1.89 goals per game this season

At home, the hosts score 1.32 goals on average and concede 1.64

Young Boys boast a strong attack with 2.11 goals scored per match

Away from home, the visitors concede an average of 2.44 goals while scoring 2.06

Head-to-Head

Young Boys dominate recent head-to-head encounters with 5 wins from 5 matches

Over this period, the goal difference stands at 14-5 in favor of the visitors

The last meeting on March 1, 2026, ended in a commanding 3-0 victory for Young Boys

Key Players

Umeh Emmanuel is Zürich's key threat with 2 goals and a 7.19 rating

Philippe Paulin Keny has contributed 1 goal and 1 assist this season

Bledian Krasniqi coordinates the midfield and has scored 1 goal

Samuel Essende is in outstanding form for the visitors with 5 goals, 2 assists, and an 8.11 rating

Alvyn Sanches has delivered strong performances with 3 goals and 2 assists

Dominik Pech reinforces the midfield with 1 goal and 1 assist

Goalkeepers

Silas Huber guards the net for Zürich with a rating of 6.33

Marvin Keller is in goal for the visitors, holding a rating of 6.69

Zürich recorded 2 clean sheets this season, while Young Boys kept 8 clean sheets

Influences

The game will be played on natural grass at Stadion Letzigrund

Venue history indicates a high scoring rate of 3.6 average goals per match

Both teams scored in 80% of the fixtures played at this stadium

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