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Super League

Servette - St. Gallen

09/06/2026, 12:00 PM

0 : 2
Expected Goals
Servette
1.8
Total xG
3.5
St. Gallen
1.6
Most Likely Scores

1:1

11%

2:1

9%

1:2

8%

2:2

7%

2:0

5%
What influences the xG?
SERSG

Servette

Defensive strength (1.7 conceded vs 2 league avg)
-0.36
4 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (0.8 goals/match)
-0.27
Declining form (0.8 vs 1.7 season average)
-0.27
Small sample (3 matches) - regression to mean
-0.13
Standings disadvantage (pos 12 vs 6, 6 places gap)
-0.12
Full strength squad available

St. Gallen

Attack weakness (0.51x league average)
-1.35
Small sample (2 matches) - regression to mean
+1.11
Standings advantage (pos 6 vs 12, 6 places gap)
+0.05
26% of goal output missing (only 80% available)
3 of last 5 matches with 2+ goals (2 goals/match)

League

High-scoring league (3.8 goals/match)
+1.34
+1.34
The Lab
Statistical patterns from recent matches
  • 1
    St. Gallen: 7 consecutive games with 3+ goals (last 12 games)

  • 2
    St. Gallen: 70% of all goals in the second half (16 of 23, last 12 games)

  • 3
    St. Gallen: 30% of all goals between minutes 61-75 (7 of 23)

Model Probabilities

Match Result

Home Win

42%

Draw

25%

Away Win

33%

Goals

Over 1.5

87%

Under 1.5

13%

Over 2.5

67%

Under 2.5

33%

Over 3.5

46%

Under 3.5

54%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

67%

Away or Draw

58%

No Draw

75%

Both Score

Yes

69%

No

31%

Key Factors
  • Severe squad impact for Servette with only 6% of the season's goal production available in the lineup
  • St. Gallen averaged 6.8 shots on target in recent matches showing strong tactical offensive metrics
  • The model calculates a high 69% probability for both teams to score
Risk Factors
  • Fatigue risk for Servette with only 3 days since their last match
  • St. Gallen conceded an average of 2.2 goals recently according to advanced metrics
  • Servette's current goal-scoring slump averaging only 0.8 goals recently compared to their season average of 1.7
Overview

Servette host St. Gallen at the Stade de Genève

Super League match on September 6, 2026, 12:00 PM

Servette currently occupy 12th place with 4 points from 5 matches

St. Gallen sit in 6th place with 7 points

Form

Servette's form is LLWDL with 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 defeats

St. Gallen's form stands at WLLLL with 1 win and 4 losses

Both sides suffered a defeat in their most recent match

Statistics

Servette averaged 1.87 goals scored per game this season

St. Gallen conceded an average of 1.24 goals per match this season

St. Gallen scored 1.86 goals per away match on average

Head-to-Head

5 head-to-head matches recorded

St. Gallen hold 2 wins, Servette have 1 win, and 2 matches ended in a draw

The last encounter on February 21, 2026, ended in a 1-1 draw

Key Players

Miroslav Stevanovic with a season rating of 7.07 and 1 goal

Timothé Cognat with 2 assists and a season rating of 7.41

Lukas Görtler scored 2 goals with a season rating of 7.41

Goalkeepers

Edvinas Gertmonas in goal for Servette with a rating of 6.44

Lawrence Ati Zigi starts for St. Gallen with a rating of 6.75

Servette recorded 9 clean sheets this season

Influences

Match played on natural grass at the Stade de Genève

Stade de Genève averages 3.2 total goals per match historically

Servette score an average of 1.85 goals at home

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