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Super League

Grasshopper - Zürich

09/05/2026, 06:30 PM

2 : 2
Expected Goals
Grasshopper
1.8
Total xG
3.4
Zürich
1.6
Most Likely Scores

1:1

11%

2:1

9%

1:2

8%

2:2

7%

2:0

5%
What influences the xG?
GRAZÜR

Grasshopper

Attack weakness (0.74x league average)
-0.66
Small sample (2 matches) - regression to mean
+0.47
Defensive strength (2 conceded vs 2 league avg)
+0.08
3 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (1.4 goals/match)
+0.03
16% of goal output missing (only 92% available)
Strong home record (2 vs 1.3 goals/match)

Zürich

Small sample (3 matches) - regression to mean
+0.31
3 of last 5 matches with 2+ goals (1.6 goals/match)
+0.08
Rising form (1.6 vs 1.3 season average)
+0.08
Philippe Paulin Keny on the bench (1 goals, 1 assists)
14% of goal output missing (only 74% available)

League

High-scoring league (3.8 goals/match)
+1.26
+1.26
The Lab
Statistical patterns from recent matches
  • 1
    Zürich: 6 consecutive games with 3+ goals (last 12 games)

  • 2
    Grasshopper: 39% of all goals between minutes 31-45 (7 of 18)

  • 3
    Zürich: dropped a lead in 4 of 7 games (11 points lost)

  • 4
    Grasshopper: dropped a lead in 5 of 9 games (15 points lost)

  • 5
    Grasshopper: first goal in 8 of 12 games (67%)

  • 6
    Grasshopper: 61% of all goals in the first half (11 of 18, last 12 games)

Model Probabilities

Match Result

Home Win

41%

Draw

25%

Away Win

34%

Goals

Over 1.5

86%

Under 1.5

14%

Over 2.5

66%

Under 2.5

34%

Over 3.5

44%

Under 3.5

56%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

66%

Away or Draw

59%

No Draw

75%

Both Score

Yes

68%

No

32%

Key Factors
  • Zürich is missing Philippe Paulin Keny, leaving them with only 74% of their usual starting strength
  • Zürich averaged 4.6 shots on target in recent matches
  • The mathematical model projects a high probability of 68% for both teams to score
Risk Factors
  • Grasshopper enters this match with only 3 days of rest since their last game
  • Zürich concedes an average of 2.25 goals per away game
Overview

City derby at the Stadion Letzigrund

Grasshopper (11th place, 4 points) faces Zürich (9th place, 6 points)

Super League match on September 5, 2026, 8:30 PM

Both teams are stuck in the lower half of the table and urgently need points

Form

Grasshopper shows form DLLLW with 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses

Most recently, they secured a 2-0 win against St. Gallen

Zürich holds the form WLLWL with 2 wins and 3 losses

Their last match ended in a 2-4 defeat against Young Boys

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

Statistics

Grasshopper scores 1.26 goals on average and concedes 1.95 goals

Zürich scores an average of 1.29 goals and concedes 1.89 goals

Grasshopper conceded 1.62 goals on average in home games

Zürich concedes an average of 2.25 goals per away game

There have been 29 matches with over 2.5 goals for Zürich this season

Head-to-Head

5 head-to-head matches in recent years

Zürich dominates with 4 wins, while Grasshopper secured only 1 win

The last encounter ended 1-2 for Zürich on May 9, 2026

The overall goal ratio stands at 5-8 from Grasshopper's perspective

Key Players

Amir Abrashi has recorded 2 goals and 1 assist with a rating of 7.14

Nikolas Muci contributed 1 goal and 1 assist

Samuel Krasniqi has provided 1 assist this season

Umeh Emmanuel scored 2 goals and provided 1 assist so far

Miguel Reichmuth has 1 goal and 1 assist to his name

Lindrit Kamberi impresses defensively and has already scored twice

Goalkeepers

Marvin Hübel is in goal for Grasshopper and holds a rating of 7.85

Grasshopper has recorded 5 clean sheets so far this season

Silas Huber guards the goal for Zürich with a rating of 6.12

Zürich has kept 2 clean sheets in this campaign

Influences

The Stadion Letzigrund features a natural grass playing surface

Statistics here show high-scoring matches with an average of 3.8 goals per game

The rate of both teams scoring at this stadium stands at 80%

Grasshopper scores an average of 1.24 goals at home, while Zürich concedes 2.25 goals away

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