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Super League

Vaduz - Lausanne Sport

09/05/2026, 04:00 PM

3 : 1
Expected Goals
Vaduz
1.9
Total xG
3.3
Lausanne Sport
1.4
Most Likely Scores

1:1

11%

2:1

9%

2:0

7%

1:2

7%

2:2

6%
What influences the xG?
VADLS

Vaduz

4 of last 5 matches with 2+ goals (2.4 goals/match)
+0.21
Rising form (2.4 vs 1.7 season average)
+0.21
Attack strength (1.23x league average)
-0.20
Small sample (2 matches) - regression to mean
+0.12
Strong home record (2.1 vs 1.7 goals/match)
Full strength squad available

Lausanne Sport

Attack weakness (0.49x league average)
-1.04
Small sample (3 matches) - regression to mean
+0.62
Defensive strength (1.6 conceded vs 1.8 league avg)
-0.21
3 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (1 goals/match)
-0.15
21% of goal output missing (only 86% available)
Weak away record (0.8 vs 1.5 goals/match)

League

High-scoring league (3.8 goals/match)
+1.26
+1.26
The Lab
Statistical patterns from recent matches
  • 1
    Vaduz: 7 consecutive games with 3+ goals (last 12 games)

  • 2
    Lausanne Sport: 3.2 cards per game (38 yellows, 1 reds in 12 games)

  • 3
    Vaduz: goal in the first 15 minutes in 6 of 12 games (50%)

  • 4
    Vaduz: dropped a lead in 4 of 7 games (11 points lost)

  • 5
    Lausanne Sport: dropped a lead in 3 of 5 games (8 points lost)

Model Probabilities

Match Result

Home Win

49%

Draw

25%

Away Win

27%

Goals

Over 1.5

85%

Under 1.5

15%

Over 2.5

63%

Under 2.5

37%

Over 3.5

41%

Under 3.5

59%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

74%

Away or Draw

52%

No Draw

75%

Both Score

Yes

64%

No

36%

Key Factors
  • Offensive advantage for Vaduz: The home side averaged 5.6 shots on target in recent matches compared to Lausanne Sport's average of 2.6
  • Rising home attack: Vaduz are scoring more frequently in recent matches (2.4 goals) compared to their season average of 1.7
  • High-scoring matchup according to model: Mathematical predictions estimate a 63% probability for over 2.5 goals
Risk Factors
  • High workload: Both teams have a very short recovery period with only 3 days since their last match
  • Defensive vulnerability of the visitors: Lausanne Sport concede an average of 2.43 goals in away matches
  • Limited data regarding head-to-head history
Overview

Vaduz host Lausanne Sport at the Rheinpark Stadion

Super League match on September 5, 2026, 6:00 PM

Vaduz are in 12th place with 3 points

Lausanne Sport are in 8th place with 6 points

Form

Vaduz's recent form is LDLWL

They recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses in their last matches

Lausanne Sport's recent form is WDLLD

The visitors recorded 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses in their last matches

Statistics

Vaduz score an average of 2.17 goals per game while conceding 2.67

At home, Vaduz's scoring average rises to 2.33 goals per match

Lausanne Sport have averaged 1.39 goals scored and 1.76 conceded this season

In away matches, the visitors conceded an average of 2.43 goals

Key Players

Lutfi Dalipi has an average rating of 7.29 with 2 goals and 5 assists

Juan Cabrera has a rating of 7.00 and scored 3 goals

Dominik Schwizer holds a rating of 6.93 and scored 2 goals

Florent Mollet recorded a rating of 7.08 and scored 2 goals

Omar Janneh has a rating of 6.52 with 1 goal and 1 assist

Karim Sow stands out with a 7.13 rating and provided 1 assist

Goalkeepers

Leon Schaffran plays in goal for Vaduz with an average rating of 6.99

Vaduz have not kept a single clean sheet so far this season

M. Mastil guards the net for Lausanne Sport with a rating of 7.06

The visitors have already achieved 6 clean sheets this season

Influences

Historically, matches at the Rheinpark Stadion average 4.4 goals per game

Both teams scored in 60% of the matches played at Vaduz's stadium

80% of historical matches at this venue ended with over 2.5 goals

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