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Super League

Sion - Thun

09/06/2026, 02:30 PM

3 : 2
Expected Goals
Sion
2.3
Total xG
3.8
Thun
1.5
Most Likely Scores

2:1

9%

3:1

7%

2:2

7%

1:2

6%

3:2

5%
What influences the xG?
SIOTHU

Sion

Small sample (3 matches) - regression to mean
-0.66
4 of last 5 matches with 2+ goals (2 goals/match)
+0.01
Strong home record (2.5 vs 2 goals/match)

Thun

Attack weakness (0.51x league average)
-0.87
Small sample (3 matches) - regression to mean
+0.53
3 of last 5 matches with 2+ goals (1.6 goals/match)
-0.15
Defensive weakness (1.7 conceded vs 1.8 league avg)
-0.09
Weak away record (1.4 vs 2.1 goals/match)
Full strength squad available

League

High-scoring league (3.8 goals/match)
+1.34
+1.34
The Lab
Statistical patterns from recent matches
  • 1
    Sion: 10 consecutive games with 3+ goals (last 12 games)

  • 2
    Sion: 7 of 20 goals scored by substitutes (last 9 games)

  • 3
    Thun: 9 consecutive games with 3+ goals (last 12 games)

  • 4
    Sion: 3 comebacks in 6 games after trailing past minute 75 (7 points rescued)

  • 5
    Thun: dropped a lead in 4 of 7 games (10 points lost)

  • 6
    Sion: opponent scores first in 8 of 12 games (67%)

Model Probabilities

Match Result

Home Win

56%

Draw

21%

Away Win

22%

Goals

Over 1.5

90%

Under 1.5

10%

Over 2.5

73%

Under 2.5

27%

Over 3.5

53%

Under 3.5

47%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

78%

Away or Draw

44%

No Draw

79%

Both Score

Yes

71%

No

29%

Key Factors
  • Visitor squad impact crisis: Thun have only 10% of their active seasonal goal production available due to absences
  • Home side tactical superiority: Sion averaged 5.0 shots on target in recent matches
  • Strong home defense: Sion concede an average of only 0.82 goals per home match this season
Risk Factors
  • High match load for the hosts with only 3 days of rest since their last game
  • Incomplete data situation regarding the unknown injuries of M. Gutbub and R. Braschi
Overview

Sion host Thun at the Stade de Tourbillon

Super League match on September 6, 2026, 4:30 PM

Sion sit in 4th place with 9 points

Thun arrive in 7th place with 7 points

The home side aim to keep up with the league leaders

Form

Sion show a form curve of WLLLW

Their last match ended in a 2-1 win against Basel

Thun travel with a form of LLDWD

Their most recent game was a 0-0 draw against Lausanne Sport

Sion recorded 2 wins and 3 losses in their recent matches

Statistics

Sion average 1.66 goals scored and 1.05 goals conceded per match this season

Thun are strong offensively with an average of 2.11 goals scored per game

Sion concede only 0.82 goals per home match on average

Thun have conceded 1.35 goals per away game this season

Head-to-Head

Thun lead the recent head-to-head history with 3 wins from 4 matches

Sion won the most recent direct meeting 2-0

A total of 7 goals were scored across these 4 encounters

There has not been a single draw in these recent matchups

Key Players

Winsley Boteli has already scored 5 goals this season for Sion

Donat Rrudhani impresses with an average rating of 7.63

Brighton Labeau leads Thun's attack with 3 goals this season

Goalkeepers

Anthony Racioppi guards the goal for Sion

Sion kept a total of 15 clean sheets this season

Niklas Steffen is the starting goalkeeper for Thun

Thun recorded 6 clean sheets during this campaign

Influences

The match is played on natural grass at the Stade de Tourbillon

Sion show strong defensive form at home with 0.82 goals conceded per match

Matches at the Stade de Tourbillon averaged 4.0 goals per game recently

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