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Super League

Zürich - Vaduz

09/13/2026, 12:00 PM

2 : 1
Expected Goals
Zürich
1.6
Total xG
3.4
Vaduz
1.8
Most Likely Scores

1:1

11%

1:2

9%

2:1

8%

2:2

7%

0:2

5%
What influences the xG?
ZÜRVAD

Zürich

Attack weakness (0.73x league average)
-0.63
Small sample (3 matches) - regression to mean
+0.38
3 of last 5 matches with 2+ goals (1.6 goals/match)
+0.08
Rising form (1.6 vs 1.3 season average)
+0.08
Strong home record (1.8 vs 1.3 goals/match)
Full strength squad available

Vaduz

4 of last 5 matches with 2+ goals (2.6 goals/match)
+0.24
Rising form (2.6 vs 1.8 season average)
+0.24
Small sample (4 matches) - regression to mean
+0.20
Full strength squad available

League

High-scoring league (3.7 goals/match)
+1.24
+1.24
The Lab
Statistical patterns from recent matches
  • 1
    Zürich: 7 consecutive games with 3+ goals (last 12 games)

  • 2
    Vaduz: 8 consecutive games with 3+ goals (last 12 games)

  • 3
    Zürich: dropped a lead in 5 of 8 games (13 points lost)

  • 4
    Vaduz: goal in the first 15 minutes in 6 of 12 games (50%)

  • 5
    Zürich: 73% of all goals in the second half (11 of 15, last 12 games)

  • 6
    Vaduz: 32% of all goals between minutes 46-60 (8 of 25)

Model Probabilities

Match Result

Home Win

35%

Draw

25%

Away Win

40%

Goals

Over 1.5

86%

Under 1.5

14%

Over 2.5

65%

Under 2.5

35%

Over 3.5

44%

Under 3.5

56%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

60%

Away or Draw

65%

No Draw

75%

Both Score

Yes

68%

No

32%

Key Factors
  • Massive squad impact for Zürich: Only 22% of seasonal goal production is currently available in the active lineup
  • Offensive strength for Vaduz: Concluding recent matches with a strong average of 7.0 shots on target per game
  • Home and away trends: Matches at Stadion Letzigrund historically average a high count of 4.0 goals per game
Risk Factors
  • Catastrophic away defense for Vaduz with an average of 3.67 goals conceded per game on the road
  • Lack of defensive stability for Vaduz with 0 clean sheets recorded in the ongoing season
  • Defensive problems on both sides with Zürich conceding 1.89 on average and Vaduz 2.43 per match
Overview

Zürich host Vaduz at the Stadion Letzigrund

Super League match on September 13, 2026, 2:00 PM

A clash between table neighbors in the lower half

Zürich sits in 9th place with 7 points, followed closely by Vaduz in 10th place with 6 points

Crucial match to keep up with the midfield

Form

Zürich shows inconsistent form: LLWLD

Most recently playing out a 2-2 draw against Grasshopper

Zürich has recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses in their last 5 matches

Vaduz travels with a form of DLWLW

The visitors won their last match 3-1 against Lausanne Sport

Form code: W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

Statistics

Zürich scores an average of 1.29 goals per game while conceding 1.89

Zürich is currently scoring more frequently at 1.6 goals compared to their season average

Vaduz features highly active games with an average of 2.29 goals scored and 2.43 conceded per match

In away games Vaduz concedes an average of 3.67 goals

The expected goals according to the model are 1.62 for Zürich and 1.75 for Vaduz

The mathematical model calculates a 66% probability of a game with over 2.5 goals

Key Players

Umeh Emmanuel is the top attacker with 3 goals and 1 assist this season

Miguel Reichmuth impresses in midfield with an average rating of 7.20

Lindrit Kamberi stabilizes the defense and has scored 2 goals this season

Lutfi Dalipi is the most dangerous player with 3 goals and 7 assists

Juan Cabrera leads the scoring charts with 4 goals this season

Miloš Cocić has contributed 3 goals in midfield

Goalkeepers

Silas Huber played 3 times in goal for Zürich with an average rating of 6.41

Zürich has recorded 2 clean sheets in the ongoing campaign

On the other side, Benjamin Büchel protects the goal, having made 1 season appearance

Vaduz is still waiting for their first clean sheet of the season

Influences

The match takes place on the natural grass surface of the Stadion Letzigrund

Historical matches at this venue point to high-scoring encounters with an average of 4.0 goals per game

Zürich concedes an average of 1.64 goals per game in front of their home crowd

Vaduz faces significant defensive issues away from home, conceding an average of 3.67 goals

The mathematical model estimates a 68% probability of both teams scoring

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