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Super League

Thun - Grasshopper

09/12/2026, 04:00 PM

0 : 1
Expected Goals
Thun
1.6
Total xG
3.3
Grasshopper
1.6
Most Likely Scores

1:1

11%

1:2

8%

2:1

8%

2:2

7%

0:2

5%
What influences the xG?
THUGRA

Thun

Attack weakness (0.47x league average)
-1.19
Small sample (2 matches) - regression to mean
+0.85
Defensive strength (1.8 conceded vs 2 league avg)
-0.22
3 of last 5 matches with 2+ goals (1.6 goals/match)
-0.15

Grasshopper

Attack weakness (0.65x league average)
-0.90
Small sample (3 matches) - regression to mean
+0.70
Defensive strength (2 conceded vs 1.8 league avg)
+0.20
3 of last 5 matches with 2+ goals (1.6 goals/match)
+0.08
Rising form (1.6 vs 1.3 season average)
+0.08
Full strength squad available

League

High-scoring league (3.8 goals/match)
+1.32
+1.32
The Lab
Statistical patterns from recent matches
  • 1
    Thun: 9 consecutive games with 3+ goals (last 12 games)

  • 2
    Thun: dropped a lead in 5 of 8 games (13 points lost)

  • 3
    Grasshopper: 35% of all goals between minutes 31-45 (7 of 20)

  • 4
    Grasshopper: dropped a lead in 5 of 9 games (15 points lost)

  • 5
    Grasshopper: first goal in 8 of 12 games (67%)

  • 6
    Thun: goal in the first 15 minutes in 5 of 12 games (42%)

Model Probabilities

Match Result

Home Win

37%

Draw

26%

Away Win

38%

Goals

Over 1.5

85%

Under 1.5

15%

Over 2.5

64%

Under 2.5

36%

Over 3.5

41%

Under 3.5

59%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

62%

Away or Draw

63%

No Draw

74%

Both Score

Yes

66%

No

34%

Key Factors
  • Only 17% of goal-scoring threat available for Grasshopper based on squad impact
  • Grasshopper averaged 5.0 shots on target in recent matches, displaying offensive strength
  • High model probability of goals on both sides with 66% for BTTS and over 1.6 expected goals per team
Risk Factors
  • Grasshopper concedes an average of 2.35 goals per away game
  • Grasshopper remains winless on artificial turf with 0 wins in 2 games
Overview

Thun (7th place, 7 points) host Grasshopper (11th place, 5 points) at the Stockhorn Arena

Super League match on September 12, 2026, 6:00 PM

Mid-table duel with a tight margin in points

Form

Thun form is LDWDL (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

Most recent match was a 2-3 defeat against Sion

Grasshopper form is LLLWD

The visitors drew 2-2 against ZĆ¼rich in their last match

Statistics

Thun scores an average of 2.11 goals and concedes 1.37 per match this season

In home matches, Thun's scoring average is 2.14 goals per game

Grasshopper records an average of 1.26 goals and concedes 1.95 goals

In away games, Grasshopper concedes an average of 2.35 goals per match

Head-to-Head

4 head-to-head matches in the database

Thun leads with 2 wins compared to 1 win for Grasshopper, with one draw

In the last encounter on March 14, 2026, Thun won clearly by 5-1

The goal difference is 9-5 in favor of Thun

Key Players

Furkan Dursun is a key performer with 1 goal, 3 assists, and a rating of 7.38

Brighton Labeau scored 3 goals this season with an average rating of 7.06

Fabio Fehr contributes defensive strength with 1 goal, 1 assist, and a rating of 6.87

Amir Abrashi leads the visitors with 2 goals, 1 assist, and a rating of 7.01

Samuel Krasniqi shines with 1 goal and 2 assists, holding a rating of 6.99

Nikolas Muci provides 1 goal and 1 assist with a rating of 6.74

Goalkeepers

Niklas Steffen is in goal for Thun, holding an average rating of 6.72

Marvin HĆ¼bel guards the goal for Grasshopper with a rating of 7.27 in 2 appearances

Thun has kept 6 clean sheets so far this season

Grasshopper has recorded 5 clean sheets during the current campaign

Influences

The match will be played on artificial turf at the Stockhorn Arena

Thun has a home record of 3 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses on artificial turf

Grasshopper has recorded 0 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss on artificial turf so far

Stockhorn Arena has averaged 3.0 goals per game in recent matches

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