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Super League

Lausanne Sport - Servette

09/13/2026, 02:30 PM

0 : 1
Expected Goals
Lausanne Sport
1.4
Total xG
3.1
Servette
1.7
Most Likely Scores

1:1

12%

1:2

9%

2:1

8%

0:2

6%

2:2

6%
What influences the xG?
LSSER

Lausanne Sport

Attack weakness (0.77x league average)
-1.11
Small sample (3 matches) - regression to mean
+0.65
Defensive strength (1.6 conceded vs 1.9 league avg)
-0.27
3 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (1 goals/match)
-0.15
Florent Mollet on the bench (2 goals, 1 assists)
25% of goal output missing (only 71% available)

Servette

Small sample (2 matches) - regression to mean
+0.38
4 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (0.8 goals/match)
-0.26
Declining form (0.8 vs 1.6 season average)
-0.26
Defensive strength (1.7 conceded vs 1.9 league avg)
-0.19
Timothé Cognat not in squad (0 goals, 2 assists)
28% of goal output missing (only 40% available)

League

High-scoring league (3.7 goals/match)
+1.24
+1.24
The Lab
Statistical patterns from recent matches
  • 1
    Lausanne Sport: 3.2 cards per game (38 yellows, 1 reds in 12 games)

  • 2
    Lausanne Sport: dropped a lead in 3 of 5 games (8 points lost)

Model Probabilities

Match Result

Home Win

31%

Draw

26%

Away Win

43%

Goals

Over 1.5

83%

Under 1.5

17%

Over 2.5

60%

Under 2.5

40%

Over 3.5

38%

Under 3.5

62%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

57%

Away or Draw

69%

No Draw

74%

Both Score

Yes

63%

No

37%

Key Factors
  • Critical squad impact for Servette: Only 40% of the usual starting XI strength available as Timothé Cognat is not in the lineup
  • Critical squad impact for Lausanne Sport: Only 71% of the usual starting XI strength available as Florent Mollet is not in the lineup
  • Tactical advantage for Servette: The visitors averaged 4.8 shots on target per match in recent games compared to Lausanne's 3.0
Risk Factors
  • Struggling attack for Servette: Goal production has stalled at an average of 0.8 goals per match in recent games
  • Defensive vulnerability for Lausanne Sport: Conceded an average of 2.25 goals per match in recent outings
Overview

Lausanne Sport (11th place, 6 points) host Servette (12th place, 4 points) at Stade de la Tuilière

Super League match on September 13, 2026, 4:30 PM

Bottom-of-the-table clash between two struggling sides

Form

Lausanne Sport has a form of DLLDL with 0 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

Servette has a form of LWDLL with 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses

Both teams enter after a loss in their last match

Statistics

Lausanne scores an average of 1.39 goals and concedes 1.76 goals per game

Servette scores an average of 1.87 goals and concedes 1.66 goals per game

Lausanne's home record stands at an average of 1.38 goals scored and conceded

Head-to-Head

5 total head-to-head matches in the database

1 win for Lausanne Sport, 2 wins for Servette, and 2 draws

The last encounter on May 12, 2026 ended in a 2-0 away win for Servette

Key Players

M. Mastil in goal for Lausanne with an average rating of 7.04

Mathis Lambourde for Servette with 1 goal and a rating of 7.34

Steve Rouiller stabilizes Servette's defense with a rating of 7.14

Goalkeepers

M. Mastil for Lausanne with 7 appearances and a 7.04 rating this season

Edvinas Gertmonas guards the goal for Servette with an average rating of 6.70

Influences

Lausanne Sport plays at their home ground Stade de la Tuilière

The stadium historically features an average of 3.8 goals per match

Both teams scored in all 5 analyzed home matches (100% BTTS rate)

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