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Super League

St. Gallen - Sion

09/12/2026, 04:00 PM

0 : 3
Expected Goals
St. Gallen
2.1
Total xG
3.9
Sion
1.8
Most Likely Scores

2:1

8%

2:2

7%

1:2

7%

3:1

6%

3:2

5%
What influences the xG?
SGSIO

St. Gallen

Defensive strength (1.5 conceded vs 2 league avg)
-0.51
Attack strength (1.53x league average)
+0.51
Small sample (3 matches) - regression to mean
-0.37
3 of last 5 matches with 2+ goals (1.4 goals/match)
-0.18
Declining form (1.4 vs 2 season average)
-0.18
Lukas Görtler not in squad (2 goals, 1 assists)

Sion

Small sample (2 matches) - regression to mean
+0.61
Defensive strength (1.4 conceded vs 1.8 league avg)
-0.46
4 of last 5 matches with 2+ goals (2.2 goals/match)
+0.07

League

High-scoring league (3.8 goals/match)
+1.32
+1.32
The Lab
Statistical patterns from recent matches
  • 1
    Sion: 11 consecutive games with 3+ goals (last 12 games)

  • 2
    Sion: opponent scores first in 9 of 12 games (75%)

  • 3
    St. Gallen: 7 consecutive games with 3+ goals (last 12 games)

  • 4
    St. Gallen: 6 of 19 goals scored by substitutes (last 11 games)

  • 5
    Sion: 6 of 20 goals scored by substitutes (last 9 games)

Model Probabilities

Match Result

Home Win

44%

Draw

23%

Away Win

33%

Goals

Over 1.5

91%

Under 1.5

9%

Over 2.5

75%

Under 2.5

25%

Over 3.5

55%

Under 3.5

45%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

67%

Away or Draw

56%

No Draw

77%

Both Score

Yes

75%

No

25%

Key Factors
  • Sion is highly efficient upfront, averaging 2.2 goals recently compared to their season average of 2.0
  • St. Gallen averaged a strong 6.2 shots on target per match in recent games
  • High scoring rate at Kybunpark with Avg. 5.0 goals per game and a calculated 75% BTTS probability
Risk Factors
  • St. Gallen's goal scoring has slowed down, averaging 1.4 goals recently compared to the season average of 2.0
  • St. Gallen conceded an average of 2.0 goals per match in recent games
  • Limited data availability regarding weather conditions
Overview

St. Gallen (4th place, 10 points) host Sion (3rd place, 12 points) at Kybunpark

Super League match on September 12, 2026, 6:00 PM

A close duel between table neighbors chasing the top spots

Form

Form strings: St. Gallen LLLLW, Sion LLLWW

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

St. Gallen ended a negative run of 4 losses with an away win

Sion comes off 2 consecutive wins after 3 previous losses

Statistics

St. Gallen scored 72 goals in the season (Avg. 1.89 per game) and conceded 47 (Avg. 1.24)

Sion scored 63 goals in the season (Avg. 1.66) and conceded 40 (Avg. 1.05)

Home advantage for St. Gallen with Avg. 1.94 goals scored at Kybunpark

Sion conceded Avg. 1.24 goals in away matches

Head-to-Head

Sion leads the head-to-head record with 2 wins out of 5 matches with 2 draws and 1 win for St. Gallen

Goal difference of 9:7 in favor of Sion

The last meeting ended in a 3-0 victory for Sion on May 3, 2026

Key Players

Aliou Baldé (2 season goals, 1 assist, rating: 7.35)

Chima Okoroji (3 season assists, rating: 6.86)

Lukas Daschner (2 season goals, 1 assist, rating: 7.25)

Winsley Boteli (5 season goals, 1 assist, rating: 7.36, 6 goals in the last 5 matches)

Donat Rrudhani (3 season goals, 1 assist, rating: 7.66)

Franck Surdez (1 season goal, 2 assists, rating: 6.81)

Goalkeepers

Lawrence Ati Zigi in goal for St. Gallen kept 8 clean sheets this season

Sion's goalkeeper Anthony Racioppi recorded 15 clean sheets this season

Influences

Kybunpark averages 5.0 total goals per game

Both teams scored and over 2.5 goals occurred in all 5 analyzed home matches

The match will be played on grass surface

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