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Super League

Young Boys - Servette

09/19/2026, 04:00 PM

3 : 2
Expected Goals
Young Boys
2.1
Total xG
3.9
Servette
1.8
Most Likely Scores

2:1

8%

2:2

7%

1:2

7%

3:1

5%

3:2

5%
What influences the xG?
YBSER

Young Boys

5 of last 5 matches with 2+ goals (3.2 goals/match)
+0.28
Rising form (3.2 vs 2.3 season average)
+0.28
Attack strength (1.43x league average)
+0.18
Small sample (4 matches) - regression to mean
-0.02
Full strength squad available

Servette

Defensive strength (1.6 conceded vs 2 league avg)
-0.31
4 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (1.2 goals/match)
-0.15
Declining form (1.2 vs 1.7 season average)
-0.15
Small sample (4 matches) - regression to mean
+0.11
Mathis Lambourde on the bench (2 goals, 1 assists)
Timothé Cognat not in squad (0 goals, 2 assists)
16% of goal output missing (only 76% available)

League

High-scoring league (3.9 goals/match)
+1.36
+1.36
The Lab
Statistical patterns from recent matches
  • 1
    Young Boys: 11 consecutive games with 3+ goals (last 12 games)

  • 2
    Young Boys with Samuel Essende starting: 2.9 goals/game, without him: 1.7 (18/9 games, last 30)

  • 3
    Young Boys: first goal in 8 of 12 games (67%)

  • 4
    Young Boys: goal in the first 15 minutes in 5 of 12 games (42%)

Model Probabilities

Match Result

Home Win

43%

Draw

23%

Away Win

34%

Goals

Over 1.5

91%

Under 1.5

9%

Over 2.5

74%

Under 2.5

26%

Over 3.5

54%

Under 3.5

46%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

66%

Away or Draw

57%

No Draw

77%

Both Score

Yes

74%

No

26%

Key Factors
  • Young Boys are currently scoring more frequently (3.2) than their season average (2.3)
  • Young Boys recently averaged a strong 8.0 shots on target per match
  • Only 34% of the attacking threat is available in the current Young Boys squad
Risk Factors
  • Servette with only 3 days of rest since their last match
  • Servette recently averaged only 3.4 shots on target per match
  • Servette concede an average of 1.89 goals per away match
Overview

Young Boys (3rd place, 16 points) host Servette (5th place, 10 points) at the Stadion Wankdorf

Super League match on September 19, 2026, 5:00 PM

The home team enters as the favorite

Form

Young Boys are unbeaten in 5 matches (Form: WDWDD)

The home summary shows 2 wins and 3 draws in their recent games

Servette won their last 2 matches (Form: DLLWW)

The away summary shows 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in their recent period

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

Statistics

Young Boys score an average of 2.11 goals per match this season

Servette average 1.87 goals scored

At home, Young Boys concede 1.25 goals on average

Away, the visitors concede an average of 1.89 goals

Head-to-Head

Historically there have been 5 head-to-head matches

Young Boys recorded 2 wins, Servette remained without a win with 3 draws

The last meeting ended in a 1:1 draw on April 12, 2026

The home team is historically dominant

Key Players

Samuel Essende shines with 8 goals and 3 assists (Rating 8.03)

Alvyn Sanches contributed 3 goals and 4 assists so far (Rating 7.62)

Christian Fassnacht has already scored 4 times this season (Rating 7.19)

For the visitors, Kingstone Mutandwa has scored 2 goals (Rating 6.67)

Miroslav Stevanovic has 1 goal (Rating 7.05)

David Datro Fofana stands at one goal (Rating 6.73)

Not nominated for Servette: Mathis Lambourde (2 goals, 1 assist) and Timothé Cognat (0 goals, 2 assists)

Goalkeepers

Marvin Keller is in goal for Young Boys with a rating of 6.81

Edvinas Gertmonas guards the goal for Servette with a rating of 6.70

The home team has kept 8 clean sheets this season, compared to 9 for the visitors

Influences

The home advantage is supported by Young Boys scoring an average of 2.15 goals at home

Stadion Wankdorf recently averaged an extreme 6.0 goals per game

The stadium trend shows 100% for both teams to score and over 2.5 goals

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