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Super League

Sion - Zürich

09/19/2026, 04:00 PM

1 : 1
Expected Goals
Sion
2.2
Total xG
3.9
Zürich
1.7
Most Likely Scores

2:1

8%

2:2

7%

1:2

6%

3:1

6%

3:2

5%
What influences the xG?
SIOZÜR

Sion

Attack strength (1.21x league average)
+0.72
Small sample (4 matches) - regression to mean
-0.43
4 of last 5 matches with 2+ goals (2.8 goals/match)
+0.22
Rising form (2.8 vs 2.1 season average)
+0.22
Franck Surdez on the bench (2 goals, 2 assists)
Donat Rrudhani not in squad (3 goals, 1 assists)
Strong home record (2.5 vs 2.1 goals/match)

Zürich

Attack weakness (0.59x league average)
-0.63
Small sample (4 matches) - regression to mean
+0.32
4 of last 5 matches with 2+ goals (2 goals/match)
+0.20
Rising form (2 vs 1.4 season average)
+0.20
Full strength squad available

League

High-scoring league (3.9 goals/match)
+1.36
+1.36
The Lab
Statistical patterns from recent matches
  • 1
    Sion: 12 consecutive games with 3+ goals (last 12 games)

  • 2
    Zürich: 8 consecutive games with 3+ goals (last 12 games)

  • 3
    Sion: 9 of 25 goals scored by substitutes (last 9 games)

  • 4
    Zürich: 76% of all goals in the second half (13 of 17, last 12 games)

  • 5
    Josias Lukembila: 3 of 3 goals after minute 60 (last 12 games)

  • 6
    Zürich: 35% of all goals between minutes 46-60 (6 of 17)

Model Probabilities

Match Result

Home Win

49%

Draw

22%

Away Win

28%

Goals

Over 1.5

91%

Under 1.5

9%

Over 2.5

74%

Under 2.5

26%

Over 3.5

54%

Under 3.5

46%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

72%

Away or Draw

51%

No Draw

78%

Both Score

Yes

73%

No

27%

Key Factors
  • Visitor weakness: Zürich must play without most of their usual goal threat, as only 27% of their goal-scoring capacity is available
  • Sion averaged an impressive 6.6 shots on target per match in their recent games
  • The mathematical analysis predicts a home win probability of 49% and 2.19 expected goals for Sion
Risk Factors
  • Away weakness: Zürich concede an average of 2.25 goals per away game this season
  • Defensive instability for Zürich with only 2 clean sheets across the entire season
Overview

Sion host Zürich at the Stade de Tourbillon

Super League match on September 19, 2026, 6:00 PM

Sion sit in 2nd place with 18 points

Zürich occupy 7th place with 10 points

The hosts enter this match as favorites

Form

Sion show strong form with four wins from their last five matches (LWWWW)

Zürich present an inconsistent run with two wins, one draw, and two defeats (LWLDW)

The form codes stand for W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

Sion won their last match 5-2 against Grasshopper

Zürich recently secured a 2-1 victory against Vaduz

Statistics

Sion score an average of 1.66 goals per game this season while conceding only 1.05

Zürich show defensive vulnerability with an average of 1.89 goals conceded per match

Zürich concede an average of 2.25 goals per away game

In Sion's home matches, an average of 1.71 goals were scored with only 0.82 conceded

Zürich have failed to keep a single clean sheet in 16 away matches

Head-to-Head

Sion dominate the historical record with four wins and one draw from five meetings

The total goal difference in these matches is 11-7 in favor of Sion

The last meeting on March 14, 2026, ended in a 2-1 victory for Sion

Zürich have failed to win any of the last five direct encounters

Key Players

For Sion, Winsley Boteli shines with 5 goals and 4 assists, and Josias Lukembila has 3 goals and 4 assists

Ilyas Chouaref has recorded 2 goals and 2 assists this term

Not nominated: Franck Surdez (2 goals/2 assists) and Donat Rrudhani (3 goals/1 assist)

For Zürich, Umeh Emmanuel has 4 goals and 2 assists, Lindrit Kamberi has 2 goals, and Miguel Reichmuth has 1 goal and 1 assist

Goalkeepers

Anthony Racioppi played in 8 league games for Sion with an average rating of 6.78

Sion have already kept 15 clean sheets this season

Silas Huber played 4 matches for Zürich with an average rating of 6.55

Zürich have only kept 2 clean sheets this season

Influences

The Stade de Tourbillon has proven highly high-scoring, averaging 4.4 goals per match

The historical rate for both teams to score at this venue is 100%

Sion have benefited from a strong home record, conceding only 0.82 goals on average

The match will be played on natural grass

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