Super League
Lugano - Lausanne Sport
02/22/2026, 03:30 PM
Expected Goals
1.8
3.0
1.2
1:1
12%2:1
10%2:0
8%1:2
7%2:2
6%Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
49%
Draw
26%
Away Win
25%
Goals
Over 1.5
82%
Under 1.5
18%
Over 2.5
58%
Under 2.5
42%
Over 3.5
36%
Under 3.5
64%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
75%
Away or Draw
51%
No Draw
74%
Both Score
Yes
60%
No
40%
Key Factors
- Lugano's strong home defense (0.87 goals conceded per game) meets Lausanne Sport's vulnerable away defense (2.0 goals conceded)
- Clear form advantage for Lugano, who are unbeaten in five games, while Lausanne have been waiting for a win for five matches
- The mathematical prediction clearly favors a home win with a 49% probability and expects 1.78 goals for Lugano
Risk Factors
- Both teams are missing important attackers, leaving both with only 68% of their season's goal threat available
- Lausanne Sport has only three days of recovery time since their last match due to the schedule
- Lugano has failed to win any of the last five head-to-head matches against Lausanne Sport (3 draws, 2 losses)
Overview
Lugano (3rd place, 43 points) hosts Lausanne Sport (9th place, 30 points) at the Stadio di Cornaredo
Super League match on February 22, 2026, 4:30 PM
Lugano aims to solidify its position among the top teams, while Lausanne Sport seeks crucial points in the mid-table
Form
Lugano's form in the last five games: WDDDD
The home team is unbeaten in five games but has drawn the last four consecutively
Lausanne Sport's form in the last five games: LDLDD
The visitors are winless in their last five matches, suffering two defeats in that period
The form clearly favors Lugano, even though their winning streak has recently stalled
Statistics
Lugano scores an average of 1.64 goals per game this season and concedes 1.2
Lausanne Sport averages 1.52 goals scored and 1.6 goals conceded per match
Particularly noteworthy is Lugano's strength at home, conceding only 0.87 goals per game, while Lausanne concedes an average of 2.0 goals away
In 18 of Lausanne's 25 games, both teams scored
Head-to-Head
In the last five head-to-head encounters, there have been no wins for Lugano, two wins for Lausanne Sport, and three draws
The goal difference from Lugano's perspective is 3:8
The last meeting ended in a 0-0 draw
Historically, Lausanne Sport has had the upper hand recently
Key Players
For Lugano, Anto Grgic (6 season goals, 4 assists), Uran Bislimi (5 goals, 3 assists), and Daniel Dos Santos (2 goals, 9 assists) are crucial offensive players
For Lausanne Sport, Gaoussou Diakité (6 goals, 6 assists), Beyatt Lekoueiry (4 goals, 1 assist), and Brandon Soppy (4 assists) are important pillars of the team
Goalkeepers
Lugano's goalkeeper Amir Saipi has been involved in his team's 7 clean sheets this season
Karlo Letica of Lausanne Sport was in goal for his team's 5 clean sheets
Influences
Lugano enjoys a clear home advantage, reflected in their strong home record with only 0.87 goals conceded per game
The Stadio di Cornaredo has recently been the scene of high-scoring games, with an average of 3.6 goals in the last five matches
In four of these five home games, both teams scored