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Super League

Servette - Sion

02/28/2026, 07:30 PM

0 : 0
Expected Goals
Servette
1.1
Total xG
2.6
Sion
1.6
Most Likely Scores

1:1

14%

1:2

9%

0:2

9%

2:1

6%

2:2

5%
What influences the xG?
SERSIO

Servette

Attack weakness (0.69x league average)
-1.03
Standings disadvantage (pos 10 vs 4, 6 places gap)
-0.07
3 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (1.8 goals/match)
+0.04

Sion

Defensive strength (1.3 conceded vs 1.5 league avg)
-0.22
Standings advantage (pos 4 vs 10, 6 places gap)
+0.05
3 of last 5 matches with 2+ goals (1.6 goals/match)
-0.03

League

High-scoring league (3.3 goals/match)
+0.84
+0.84
Model Probabilities

Match Result

Home Win

25%

Draw

28%

Away Win

47%

Goals

Over 1.5

76%

Under 1.5

24%

Over 2.5

49%

Under 2.5

51%

Over 3.5

27%

Under 3.5

73%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

53%

Away or Draw

75%

No Draw

72%

Both Score

Yes

54%

No

46%

Key Factors
  • Defensive contrast: Sion's significantly more stable defense (1.15 goals conceded/game) meets one of the league's most vulnerable backlines in Servette (2.00 goals conceded/game)
  • Form and league position: Sion is in better form with only one loss in five games and, as 4th, is far ahead of Servette (10th), suggesting a quality gap this season
  • Strong attack meets weak defense: Sion is offensively strong (5.0 shots on target per game) and faces a home team that concedes over two goals per game on average at home
Risk Factors
  • Head-to-head record: Servette is unbeaten in the last five direct encounters against Sion, a strong historical trend that contradicts current form
  • Key absence for Servette: The hosts are missing attacker Florian Ayé, who has scored 8 goals this season
  • Sion's away vulnerability: Despite their overall solid defense, Sion concedes an average of 1.54 goals per away game, suggesting increased vulnerability on the road
Overview

Servette (10th place, 28 points) host Sion (4th place, 40 points) at the Stade de Genève

Super League match on February 28, 2026, 8:30 PM

Sion aims to solidify its position in the top 4, while Servette tries to move away from the bottom of the table

Form

Servette form: DLDDD (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

The home team is winless in 5 matches, with 0 wins, 4 draws, and 1 loss

Sion form: DDWLW

The visitors are in better form with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in their last 5 games

Statistics

Servette scores an average of 1.72 goals per game but also concedes 2.00

Sion has a more solid defense with only 1.15 goals conceded per game, while scoring an average of 1.50 goals

At home, Servette's defense is particularly vulnerable, conceding an average of 2.18 goals

Sion has kept 9 clean sheets this season, compared to Servette's 3

Head-to-Head

Servette is unbeaten in the last 5 head-to-head encounters

The record stands at 2 wins for Servette, 0 wins for Sion, and 3 draws

The goal difference is 12-7 in favor of Servette

The last meeting ended in a 3-3 draw

Key Players

Miroslav Stevanovic (8 goals, 5 assists), Jérémy Guillemenot (6 goals, 2 assists), and Lilian Njoh (9 assists) are key figures in Servette's play

For Sion, Rilind Nivokazi (11 goals, 2 assists), Ilyas Chouaref (5 goals, 4 assists), and Nias Hefti (6 assists) stand out

Goalkeepers

Servette's goalkeeper is Joël Mall, whose team has kept 3 clean sheets this season

In goal for Sion is Anthony Racioppi, whose team has already kept a clean sheet 9 times

Influences

Servette is strong offensively at home (1.73 goals per game) but extremely vulnerable defensively (2.18 goals conceded per game)

The last five matches at the Stade de Genève have been high-scoring, with an average of 3.0 goals per game

In 4 of these 5 home games, both teams have scored

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