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Super League

Lausanne Sport - Basel

03/01/2026, 01:00 PM

1 : 2
Expected Goals
Lausanne Sport
1.8
Total xG
3.7
Basel
1.9
Most Likely Scores

1:2

8%

2:1

8%

2:2

7%

1:3

5%

3:1

5%
What influences the xG?
LSBAS

Lausanne Sport

Defensive weakness (1.6 conceded vs 1.8 league avg)
-0.21
4 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (1.4 goals/match)
-0.05
Theo Bair not in starting XI (6 goals, 0 assists)
30% of goal output missing (only 66% available)
Strong home record (2.1 vs 1.6 goals/match)

Basel

3 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (1.2 goals/match)
-0.10
Declining form (1.2 vs 1.6 season average)
-0.10
Philip Otele not in starting XI (0 goals, 0 assists)
Dominik Schmid not in starting XI (0 goals, 0 assists)

League

High-scoring league (3.3 goals/match)
+0.82
+0.82
Model Probabilities

Match Result

Home Win

37%

Draw

24%

Away Win

39%

Goals

Over 1.5

89%

Under 1.5

11%

Over 2.5

71%

Under 2.5

29%

Over 3.5

50%

Under 3.5

50%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

61%

Away or Draw

63%

No Draw

76%

Both Score

Yes

72%

No

28%

Key Factors
  • Both teams show defensive weaknesses, with Lausanne conceding 2.6 goals per game recently, and Basel 2.0
  • The mathematical model expects an open game with a high probability of 72% for 'Both teams to score'
  • Basel's attack is statistically strong, averaging 5.2 shots on target per game
Risk Factors
  • Lausanne Sport must play without top scorer Theo Bair (6 goals), leaving only 67% of their goal threat available
  • Basel is missing key players like Philip Otele and Dominik Schmid, meaning only 69% of their goal threat is on the field
  • Lausanne had a much shorter recovery time since the last match, with only 3 days
Overview

Lausanne Sport (9th place, 30 points) hosts Basel (5th place, 40 points) at the Stade de la TuiliĆØre

Form

Super League match on March 1, 2026, 2:00 PM

Statistics

Lausanne Sport form (all competitions): L-D-D-L-L

Head-to-Head

Both teams are in the middle of the table and are looking for more consistent performances

Key Players

They are winless in their last 5 matches, with 0 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses

Goalkeepers

Basel has recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses in their last 5 matches

Influences

In the last 5 encounters, there was 1 win for Lausanne Sport, 1 win for Basel, and 3 draws

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