Super League
Young Boys - Zürich
03/01/2026, 03:30 PM
Expected Goals
1.6
2.8
1.2
1:1
13%2:1
9%2:0
8%1:2
7%2:2
6%What influences the xG?
Young Boys
Zürich
League
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
46%
Draw
27%
Away Win
27%
Goals
Over 1.5
79%
Under 1.5
21%
Over 2.5
54%
Under 2.5
46%
Over 3.5
32%
Under 3.5
68%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
73%
Away or Draw
54%
No Draw
73%
Both Score
Yes
58%
No
42%
Key Factors
- Strong home advantage for Young Boys, who score almost one goal more than they concede on average at home, while Zürich is very vulnerable away
- Historical dominance: Young Boys are unbeaten in the last five encounters (3 wins, 2 draws) and won the last match comfortably 3-0
- Offensive form: Young Boys' attacking performance has recently improved (2.4 goals per game in the last 5 games vs. 1.9 season average)
Risk Factors
- Zürich's offense is weakened by absences, with only 64% of the season's goalscorers available, missing top scorer Matthias Phaëton (7 goals) among others
- Both teams have vulnerable defenses, conceding nearly two goals per game on average this season, which could lead to an unpredictable result
- Young Boys' form is inconsistent (WDLWL), showing they can unexpectedly drop points even as favorites
Overview
Young Boys (6th place, 36 points) host Zürich (8th place, 31 points) at Stadion Wankdorf
The Super League match takes place on March 1, 2026, at 4:30 PM
It's a mid-table clash where Young Boys will be looking to extend their narrow lead
Form
Young Boys Form: WDLWL
In the last five games, there have been 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses
Results have been mixed recently, with a 6-1 win against Winterthur and a 1-3 loss to Sion
Zürich Form: LLWLW
The team has recorded 2 wins and 3 losses in their last five matches
Zürich is also showing inconsistent form, most recently with a 2-1 win against Grasshopper after a 1-4 loss to Luzern
(W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
Statistics
Offensively, Young Boys are stronger with an average of 2.0 goals per game compared to Zürich's 1.5 goals
Especially at home, YB is very prolific with 2.0 goals per game
Defensively, both teams are vulnerable, with Young Boys conceding an average of 2.0 goals, and Zürich 1.92
However, YB's defense is significantly more stable at home (1.07 goals conceded per game)
For both teams, over 2.5 goals were scored in 20 of 26 league games
Head-to-Head
Young Boys has clearly dominated the last 5 head-to-head encounters
Young Boys celebrated 3 victories, while Zürich failed to win a single one, with 2 matches ending in a draw
The goal difference is clearly in favor of the home team at 10:5
The last meeting about a month ago was won 3-0 by Young Boys at home
Key Players
Christian Fassnacht is the pivotal player in Young Boys' midfield with 15 season goals and 6 assists
Alvyn Sanches has also contributed an important 5 goals and 5 assists
Edimilson Fernandes is a key playmaker with 5 assists
For Zürich, Philippe Paulin Keny is the most dangerous attacker with 11 season goals
Bledian Krasniqi pulls the strings in midfield and has already set up 6 goals
Defender Lindrit Kamberi not only provides defensive stability but has also been directly involved in 3 goals
Goalkeepers
Marvin Keller in the Young Boys' goal has kept 5 clean sheets this season, all of them in home games
Zürich's goalkeeper Silas Huber is still waiting for his first away clean sheet this season
Overall, Zürich has not kept a clean sheet away from home this season
Influences
The home advantage for Young Boys is statistically significant
They score an average of 2.0 goals per game at home and concede only 1.07
Stadion Wankdorf has recently been the scene of high-scoring matches, with an average of 4.6 goals in the last five games