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Pro League

Al Ittihad - Al Kholood

08/15/2026, 06:00 PM

1 : 1
Expected Goals
Al Ittihad
1.5
Total xG
2.5
Al Kholood
1.0
Most Likely Scores

1:1

14%

2:0

10%

2:1

9%

1:2

6%

3:0

5%
What influences the xG?
AIAK

Al Ittihad

Attack weakness (0.63x league average)
-1.20
Defensive strength (1.5 conceded vs 2.3 league avg)
-0.85
Standings advantage (pos 5 vs 14, 9 places gap)
+0.07
4 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (1.4 goals/match)
-0.06
Muhannad Shanqeeti on the bench (3 goals, 6 assists)
Fabinho not in squad (1 goals, 3 assists)
Faisal Al-Ghamdi not in squad (1 goals, 2 assists)

Al Kholood

Attack weakness (0.51x league average)
-1.29
3 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (1 goals/match)
-0.11
Standings disadvantage (pos 14 vs 5, 9 places gap)
-0.10
Defensive strength (2 conceded vs 2 league avg)
+0.04
Hattan Bahebri not in squad (5 goals, 6 assists)
Mohammed Sawaan on the bench (2 goals, 3 assists)
Guga not in squad (2 goals, 2 assists)
54% of goal output missing (only 45% available)

League

High-scoring league (4.3 goals/match)
+1.83
+1.83
The Lab
Statistical patterns from recent matches
  • 1
    Al Kholood: 7 consecutive games with 3+ goals (last 8 games)

  • 2
    Al Ittihad: scored only in H2 in 4 consecutive games (5 of 8 total)

  • 3
    Al Kholood with Kévin N'Doram: 1.7 goals/game. Without: 0.5 goals/game (6 of 8 games)

  • 4
    Al Kholood: 74% of xG value comes in the first half (last 8 games with xG data)

  • 5
    Al Ittihad with Houssem Aouar: 1.3 goals/game. Without: 0.5 goals/game (6 of 8 games)

Model Probabilities

Match Result

Home Win

49%

Draw

29%

Away Win

22%

Goals

Over 1.5

73%

Under 1.5

27%

Over 2.5

46%

Under 2.5

54%

Over 3.5

25%

Under 3.5

75%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

78%

Away or Draw

51%

No Draw

71%

Both Score

Yes

50%

No

50%

Key Factors
  • Critical squad reduction: Al Kholood is missing Hattan Bahebri, Mohammed Sawaan, and Guga, leaving only 46% of their usual goal threat available
  • Tactical limits: Al Ittihad averaged only 3.8 shots on target per match recently despite 54.2% possession
  • Historical advantage: Al Ittihad remains unbeaten in all four head-to-head matches against the visitors
Risk Factors
  • Vulnerable away defense: Al Kholood concedes an average of 1.58 goals per away match this season
  • Low away scoring: Al Kholood averages only 1.16 goals scored per away game
Overview

Al Ittihad host Al Kholood at the Alinma Stadium

Pro League match on August 15, 2026, 7:00 PM

Al Ittihad start in 12th place while Al Kholood are in 7th

Both teams aim to secure points on the opening matchday

Form

Al Ittihad show a weak form of LLWLL

They suffered four defeats in their last five matches

Al Kholood travel with a form string of LDLWD

The visitors recorded one win and two draws recently

(W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

Statistics

Al Ittihad score an average of 1.62 goals and concede 1.41 goals per match

At home, they averaged 1.57 goals scored and 1.50 goals conceded

Al Kholood score 1.16 goals and concede 1.58 goals on average in away matches

Across the entire season, the visitors average 1.15 goals scored and 1.79 goals conceded

Head-to-Head

In 4 head-to-head matches, Al Ittihad won 3 times and 1 ended in a draw

Al Kholood are still waiting for their first win against the hosts

The last encounter on May 4, 2026, ended in a 0:0 draw

The historical goals count is 9:3 in favor of Al Ittihad

Key Players

Youssef En-Nesyri scored 6 goals this season in rising form

Danilo Pereira impresses with an average rating of 7.22

Houssem Aouar contributed 8 goals and 4 assists this season

John Buckley is key in midfield with an average rating of 7.09

Abdulaziz Al-Aliwa scored 4 goals and provided 2 assists

Shaquille Pinas stabilizes the defense and scored 1 goal this season

Goalkeepers

Predrag Rajković guards the goal for Al Ittihad with a season rating of 6.84

Hamed Al-Shanqity is the starting goalkeeper for Al Kholood

Al Ittihad kept 9 clean sheets this season

Al Kholood secured 6 clean sheets throughout the season

Influences

The match is played on grass at the Alinma Stadium

The venue history averages 3.2 goals per game

Both teams scored in 3 out of 5 matches played here

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