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Pro League

NEOM SC - Al-Fayha

08/14/2026, 04:50 PM

2 : 1
Expected Goals
NEOM SC
1.4
Total xG
2.5
Al-Fayha
1.1
Most Likely Scores

1:1

14%

2:1

9%

2:0

8%

1:2

7%

2:2

5%
What influences the xG?
NSAL-

NEOM SC

Attack strength (1.26x league average)
+0.64
Defensive strength (1.4 conceded vs 1 league avg)
+0.45
3 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (1.8 goals/match)
+0.15
Rising form (1.8 vs 1.3 season average)
+0.15
Luciano RodrĆ­guez not in squad (6 goals, 1 assists)
Abdoulaye DoucourƩ not in squad (0 goals, 4 assists)
Rayane Messi not in squad (1 goals, 1 assists)

Al-Fayha

Attack weakness (0.35x league average)
-2.64
Defensive weakness (1.6 conceded vs 3 league avg)
-1.36
5 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (0.4 goals/match)
-0.26
Declining form (0.4 vs 1.2 season average)
-0.26
Y. Benzia not in squad (4 goals, 5 assists)
Sabri Dahal not in squad (3 goals, 4 assists)
Chris Smalling not in squad (3 goals, 1 assists)

League

High-scoring league (4 goals/match)
+1.50
+1.50
The Lab
Statistical patterns from recent matches
  • 1
    Al-Fayha with Mansor Al-Beshe: 1.4 goals/game. Without: 0 goals/game (5 of 7 games)

  • 2
    NEOM SC with Ahmed Abdu: 1.8 goals/game. Without: 0.3 goals/game (5 of 8 games)

Model Probabilities

Match Result

Home Win

43%

Draw

30%

Away Win

27%

Goals

Over 1.5

74%

Under 1.5

26%

Over 2.5

47%

Under 2.5

53%

Over 3.5

25%

Under 3.5

75%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

73%

Away or Draw

57%

No Draw

70%

Both Score

Yes

53%

No

47%

Key Factors
  • Attack trend: NEOM SC is currently scoring more frequently (1.8 goals) than their season average (1.3), while Al-Fayha's goal production has stalled at 0.4 recently
  • Tactical superiority: NEOM SC averaged 5.4 shots on target in recent matches, compared to Al-Fayha's 2.6
  • Head-to-head edge: NEOM SC remains unbeaten in past meetings and won the last direct duel 1-0
Risk Factors
  • Away defensive weakness: Al-Fayha concedes an average of 2.12 goals per away match
  • Home defensive vulnerability: NEOM SC concedes an average of 1.5 goals per home game
  • Squad limitations for Al-Fayha: Key players Y. Benzia, Sabri Dahal, and Chris Smalling are missing from the squad
Overview

NEOM SC host Al-Fayha at the King Khalid Sport City Stadium

Pro League match on August 14, 2026, 4:50 PM

Both teams start the new campaign level on points

The home side enters as slight favorites with a predicted win probability of 43%

Form

NEOM SC form across all competitions: DWWLD (2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss)

Al-Fayha form across all competitions: WLDLL (1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses)

NEOM SC shows stable form with only one defeat in their last five matches

Al-Fayha travels with two consecutive losses

Statistics

NEOM SC scored an average of 1.26 goals per match and conceded 1.41 last season

Al-Fayha recorded 1.21 goals scored and 1.59 goals conceded on average

NEOM SC averaged 1.25 goals at home, while Al-Fayha conceded an average of 2.12 goals in away games

Head-to-Head

There have been 2 direct matches between the two teams

NEOM SC leads the head-to-head record with one win and one draw

The last encounter on April 4, 2026, ended in a 1-0 win for NEOM SC

Key Players

SaĆÆd Benrahma scored 10 goals and provided 7 assists for the home team this season

Alexandre Lacazette leads the attack with 11 goals this season

Amadou KonƩ contributed 2 goals from midfield

Goalkeepers

Marcin Bulka starts in goal for NEOM SC and kept 6 clean sheets during the season

Orlando Mosquera guards the net for Al-Fayha with 7 clean sheets recorded

Influences

The home advantage for NEOM SC is backed by 1.25 home goals scored per match

Matches at the King Khalid Sport City Stadium averaged 2.4 goals over the last 5 games

Both teams scored in 80% of those stadium matches

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