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Pro League

Al Taawoun - Al Khaleej

08/15/2026, 04:15 PM

0 : 0
Expected Goals
Al Taawoun
1.3
Total xG
2.5
Al Khaleej
1.1
Most Likely Scores

1:1

14%

0:0

10%

1:0

10%

2:1

9%

0:1

8%
What influences the xG?
ATAK

Al Taawoun

Attack weakness (0.72x league average)
-1.39
Defensive strength (1.3 conceded vs 2.3 league avg)
-1.00
3 of last 5 matches with 2+ goals (1.4 goals/match)
-0.10
Roger MartĆ­nez not in squad (23 goals, 2 assists)
Angelo Fulgini not in squad (5 goals, 10 assists)
Mohammed Mahzari not in squad (1 goals, 2 assists)
Andrei Girotto not in squad (2 goals, 0 assists)
FlƔvio not in squad (0 goals, 2 assists)
Mohammed Waleed Al-Dossary not in squad (2 goals, 0 assists)
78% of goal output missing (only 32% available)

Al Khaleej

Attack weakness (0.6x league average)
-1.24
3 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (0.8 goals/match)
-0.27
Declining form (0.8 vs 1.7 season average)
-0.27
Defensive strength (1.7 conceded vs 2 league avg)
-0.26
Konstantinos Fortounis not in squad (10 goals, 12 assists)
Georgios Masouras not in squad (13 goals, 3 assists)
Paolo Fernandes not in squad (4 goals, 3 assists)
Dimitrios Kourbelis not in squad (1 goals, 1 assists)
33% of goal output missing (only 59% available)
Weak away record (1.2 vs 1.7 goals/match)

League

High-scoring league (4.3 goals/match)
+1.83
+1.83
The Lab
Statistical patterns from recent matches
  • 1
    Al Khaleej with Abdullah Al-Hafith: 1.2 goals/game. Without: 0 goals/game (6 of 8 games)

  • 2
    Al Taawoun: 5 consecutive games with 3+ goals (last 8 games)

  • 3
    Al Khaleej: 3 consecutive games with 3+ goals (last 8 games)

  • 4
    Al Khaleej: 2 comebacks in 8 games after trailing past minute 75 (2 points rescued)

Model Probabilities

Match Result

Home Win

40%

Draw

30%

Away Win

30%

Goals

Over 1.5

72%

Under 1.5

28%

Over 2.5

45%

Under 2.5

55%

Over 3.5

24%

Under 3.5

76%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

70%

Away or Draw

60%

No Draw

70%

Both Score

Yes

52%

No

48%

Key Factors
  • Critical squad impact: Only 32% of goal threat available without Roger MartĆ­nez, Angelo Fulgini, Mohammed Mahzari, Andrei Girotto, FlĆ”vio, and Mohammed Waleed Al-Dossary
  • Tactical metric: Al Taawoun averaged 4.2 shots on target in recent matches
  • Historical dominance: Al Taawoun are unbeaten in the last 4 head-to-head matches, winning 3
Risk Factors
  • Konstantinos Fortounis, Georgios Masouras, Paolo Fernandes, and Dimitrios Kourbelis are missing, only 59% of goal threat available
  • Al Khaleej concede an average of 1.94 goals per away match
Overview

Al Taawoun host Al Khaleej

Pro League match on August 15, 2026, 4:15 PM

Al Taawoun start the season in 8th place

Al Khaleej currently occupy 11th place

Mathematical analysis predicts a home win probability of 40%

Form

Al Taawoun enter with the form sequence DDLWL

The home side suffered a defeat in their last match

Form over the last 5 games includes 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses

Al Khaleej arrive with the form sequence LWLDL

The visitors recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses recently

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

Statistics

Al Taawoun averaged 1.74 goals scored per game last season

Their defensive average stood at 1.35 goals conceded

At home they recorded an average of 1.71 goals scored and 1.41 conceded

Al Khaleej averaged 1.59 goals scored during the last campaign

On their travels the visitors conceded an average of 1.94 goals

Both teams registered 22 games where both teams scored

Head-to-Head

There have been 4 head-to-head matches in total

Al Taawoun claimed 3 wins during this period

No wins for Al Khaleej with 1 draw recorded

The overall goal difference stands at 5:1 in favor of the hosts

The last match ended in a 1:1 draw

Key Players

Mohammed Al-Kuwaykibi scored 4 goals and provided 7 assists last season

Marin Petkov contributed 2 goals and 2 assists

Aschraf El Mahdioui provided 2 assists with an average rating of 6.97

Joshua King was the visitors most dangerous threat with 20 goals and 2 assists

Pedro Rebocho provided 7 assists in 33 appearances

Saleh Mohammed Fares Al Jaman has scored 3 goals this season

Goalkeepers

Mailson featured in 33 games for the home team

He guarded the net with an average rating of 6.92

Anthony Moris made 33 appearances for the visitors

He recorded an average rating of 7.01

Mailson achieved 6 clean sheets during the last season

Anthony Moris managed 4 clean sheets in total

Influences

The match will be played on grass at the King Abdullah Sport City Stadium

The stadium history shows an average of 3.0 goals per game

In 4 out of the last 5 home games both teams scored

Al Taawoun scored an average of 1.71 goals at home and conceded 1.41

Al Khaleej managed 1.62 goals on average away while conceding 1.94

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