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Pro League

Al Khaleej - Al Shabab

08/22/2026, 06:00 PM

0 : 0
Expected Goals
Al Khaleej
1.5
Total xG
3.0
Al Shabab
1.4
Most Likely Scores

1:1

13%

2:1

9%

1:2

8%

2:2

6%

2:0

6%
What influences the xG?
AKAS

Al Khaleej

Defensive strength (1.7 conceded vs 1.2 league avg)
+0.52
3 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (0.8 goals/match)
-0.27
Declining form (1 vs 1.7 season average)
-0.21
Joshua King not in squad (20 goals, 2 assists)
Konstantinos Fortounis not in squad (10 goals, 12 assists)
Georgios Masouras not in squad (13 goals, 3 assists)
Pedro Rebocho on the bench (0 goals, 7 assists)
Paolo Fernandes not in squad (4 goals, 3 assists)
Anthony Moris not in squad (0 goals, 2 assists)
Dimitrios Kourbelis not in squad (1 goals, 1 assists)
100% of goal output missing (only 0% available)

Al Shabab

Defensive weakness (1.7 conceded vs 1.7 league avg)
+0.06
3 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (1.4 goals/match)
-0.01
Yannick Carrasco not in squad (18 goals, 8 assists)
Abderrazak Hamdallah not in squad (6 goals, 2 assists)
Josh Brownhill not in squad (5 goals, 2 assists)
Saad Balobaid not in squad (1 goals, 4 assists)
Yacine Adli not in squad (1 goals, 3 assists)
Ali Al-Azaizeh not in squad (2 goals, 1 assists)
Ali bin Hadi bin Mohammed Al Bulayhi not in squad (2 goals, 0 assists)
100% of goal output missing (only 0% available)

League

High-scoring league (2.9 goals/match)
+0.39
+0.39
The Lab
Statistical patterns from recent matches
  • 1
    Al Shabab: first goal in 6 of 8 games (75%)

  • 2
    Al Khaleej with Abdullah Al-Hafith: 1 goals/game. Without: 0 goals/game (6 of 8 games)

  • 3
    Al Khaleej: 5 of 8 games without conceding in H1, but only 1 over 90 minutes

  • 4
    Al Khaleej: 3 consecutive games with 3+ goals (last 8 games)

  • 5
    Al Shabab: 3 consecutive games with 3+ goals (last 8 games)

Model Probabilities

Match Result

Home Win

39%

Draw

27%

Away Win

34%

Goals

Over 1.5

81%

Under 1.5

19%

Over 2.5

57%

Under 2.5

43%

Over 3.5

34%

Under 3.5

66%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

66%

Away or Draw

61%

No Draw

73%

Both Score

Yes

61%

No

39%

Key Factors
  • Squad depletion: Only 0% of the active goals share is available with key players like Joshua King (Al Khaleej) and Yannick Carrasco (Al Shabab) missing
  • Al Shabab averaged 6.4 shots on target in recent matches despite balanced possession
  • Al Khaleej's goal scoring has slowed down recently, averaging 1.0 goals compared to their season average of 1.7
Risk Factors
  • Extreme risk due to the complete absence of 7 key players on each side
  • Al Khaleej concedes an average of 1.82 goals per match (home average of 1.72)
  • Limited data regarding Al Shabab's current player form and missing weather details
Overview

Al Khaleej host Al Shabab at the EGO STADIUM

Pro League match on August 22, 2026, 8:00 PM

Al Khaleej is in 11th place (1 point), Al Shabab is in 14th (0 points)

Both sides seek their first win of the season

Form

Al Khaleej's form across all competitions: WLDLD

Their last match ended in a 0-0 draw against Al Taawoun

Al Shabab's form across all competitions: DWDDL

Their last result was a 1-3 defeat against Al-Qadsiah

Statistics

Al Khaleej scored an average of 1.59 goals and conceded 1.82 per match this season

At home, they averaged 1.56 goals scored and 1.72 conceded

Al Shabab averaged 1.29 goals scored and 1.68 conceded per game

On the road, the visitors conceded an average of 1.75 goals

Head-to-Head

There have been 4 head-to-head matches

Al Shabab leads with 2 wins, while Al Khaleej has 1 win and 1 draw

The goal difference stands at 5:7 against Al Khaleej

Their last meeting ended 0-0 on January 24, 2026

Influences

The match is played on natural grass at the EGO STADIUM

Historically, the venue averages 3.2 total goals per match

Over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring occurred in 60% of the last 5 games here

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