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Pro League

Al Kholood - Al Taawoun

08/22/2026, 04:10 PM

3 : 2
Expected Goals
Al Kholood
0.9
Total xG
1.8
Al Taawoun
0.9
Most Likely Scores

0:0

18%

1:1

15%

0:1

13%

1:0

13%

0:2

7%
What influences the xG?
AKAT

Al Kholood

Defensive strength (2 conceded vs 1.2 league avg)
+0.78
Attack weakness (0.62x league average)
-0.30
3 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (1 goals/match)
-0.10
Standings disadvantage (pos 14 vs 6, 8 places gap)
-0.08
Hattan Bahebri not in squad (5 goals, 6 assists)
Mohammed Sawaan on the bench (2 goals, 3 assists)
Guga not in squad (2 goals, 2 assists)
41% of goal output missing (only 54% available)

Al Taawoun

Attack weakness (0.41x league average)
-1.12
Defensive weakness (1.3 conceded vs 1.7 league avg)
-0.34
3 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (1 goals/match)
-0.22
Declining form (1.2 vs 1.7 season average)
-0.14
Standings advantage (pos 6 vs 14, 8 places gap)
+0.04
Roger MartĆ­nez not in squad (23 goals, 2 assists)
Angelo Fulgini not in squad (5 goals, 10 assists)
Mohammed Mahzari not in squad (1 goals, 2 assists)
Andrei Girotto not in squad (2 goals, 0 assists)
FlƔvio not in squad (0 goals, 2 assists)
Mohammed Waleed Al-Dossary not in squad (2 goals, 0 assists)
74% of goal output missing (only 36% available)
Weak away record (0.9 vs 1.7 goals/match)

League

High-scoring league (2.9 goals/match)
+0.39
+0.39
The Lab
Statistical patterns from recent matches
  • 1
    Al Taawoun with Qasem Lajami: 1.7 goals/game. Without: 0 goals/game (6 of 8 games)

  • 2
    Al Kholood: 6 consecutive games with 3+ goals (last 8 games)

  • 3
    Al Taawoun: 5 consecutive games with 3+ goals (last 8 games)

  • 4
    Al Kholood with KĆ©vin N'Doram: 1.4 goals/game. Without: 0.7 goals/game (5 of 8 games)

Model Probabilities

Match Result

Home Win

32%

Draw

36%

Away Win

32%

Goals

Over 1.5

57%

Under 1.5

43%

Over 2.5

28%

Under 2.5

72%

Over 3.5

11%

Under 3.5

89%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

68%

Away or Draw

68%

No Draw

64%

Both Score

Yes

38%

No

62%

Key Factors
  • Only 54% of Al Kholood's regular lineup strength available, with key figures Hattan Bahebri, Mohammed Sawaan, and Guga missing
  • Severe selection issues for Al Taawoun with only 37% squad goals share available, as Roger MartĆ­nez and Angelo Fulgini are absent
  • Highly balanced mathematical prediction from the model with a 32% win probability for each side and 36% for a draw
Risk Factors
  • Al Taawoun displays a negative form trend in advanced stats with goal production dropping recently to 1.25 per match
  • The historical scoring trend at the Ar-Rass Stadium is extremely low, averaging only 1.4 total goals per fixture
  • Al Kholood exhibits severe defensive frailties at home, conceding a high average of 2.07 goals per game
Overview

Al Kholood hosts Al Taawoun at the Ar-Rass Stadium

Match scheduled for August 22, 2026, 6:10 PM

A clash between the 10th and 12th place in the Pro League table

Both clubs began their campaign with a draw in the opening round

Form

Al Kholood holds a form record of DLWDD across all competitions

Their last result was a 1-1 draw on the road against Al Ittihad

Al Taawoun comes into the game with a form sequence of DLWLD

Their most recent match ended in a 0-0 home draw against Al Khaleej

Statistics

Al Kholood scores an average of 1.15 goals and concedes 1.79 goals per game

At home Al Kholood struggles defensively, conceding 2.07 goals on average

Al Taawoun averages 1.74 goals scored while conceding 1.35 goals

In away matches Al Taawoun remains productive with 1.76 goals scored on average

Head-to-Head

A total of 4 head-to-head matches have been played between these clubs

Al Taawoun leads the historical balance with 2 victories

Al Kholood secured 1 win alongside 1 draw recorded

The latest encounter ended in a 2-1 victory for Al Kholood back in April 2026

Key Players

John Buckley anchors Al Kholood's midfield with a solid 7.09 season rating

Abdulaziz Al-Aliwa remains a constant offensive threat with 4 goals scored

Shaquille Pinas provides defensive stability and has contributed 1 goal and 2 assists

Mohammed Al-Kuwaykibi is the main playmaker for Al Taawoun with 4 goals and 7 assists

Marin Petkov excels in the attacking third with an impressive 7.25 average rating

Aschraf El Mahdioui commands the central midfield for the visiting side

Goalkeepers

Hamed Al-Shanqity starts in goal for Al Kholood

Al Kholood registered 6 clean sheets over the course of the season

Mailson is the starting goalkeeper for Al Taawoun with a 6.92 season rating

Al Taawoun also accumulated 6 clean sheets throughout the campaign

Influences

The match takes place at the Ar-Rass Stadium

The historical venue average is extremely low with just 1.4 goals per match

The rate for over 2.5 goals at this stadium stands at only 20%

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