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Pro League

Al Fateh - Al Ettifaq

08/22/2026, 03:45 PM

0 : 1
Expected Goals
Al Fateh
2.0
Total xG
2.8
Al Ettifaq
0.9
Most Likely Scores

1:1

11%

2:0

11%

2:1

10%

3:0

7%

3:1

6%
What influences the xG?
AFAE

Al Fateh

Defensive strength (1.8 conceded vs 1.2 league avg)
+0.60
5 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (0.2 goals/match)
-0.32
Declining form (0.2 vs 1.2 season average)
-0.30
Sofiane Bendebka not in squad (9 goals, 1 assists)
Fahad Aqeel Al-Zubaidi on the bench (3 goals, 3 assists)
Wesley Delgado not in squad (2 goals, 3 assists)
Jorge Fernandes not in squad (2 goals, 0 assists)
49% of goal output missing (only 59% available)

Al Ettifaq

Attack weakness (0.5x league average)
-1.13
Defensive weakness (1.8 conceded vs 1.7 league avg)
+0.16
3 of last 5 matches with 2+ goals (2 goals/match)
+0.12
Rising form (2 vs 1.6 season average)
+0.12
Georginio Wijnaldum not in squad (16 goals, 6 assists)
Francisco Calvo not in squad (4 goals, 1 assists)
33% of goal output missing (only 73% available)
Weak away record (1 vs 1.6 goals/match)

League

High-scoring league (2.9 goals/match)
+0.39
+0.39
The Lab
Statistical patterns from recent matches
  • 1
    Al Fateh with Fahad Aqeel Al-Zubaidi: 1 goals/game. Without: 0 goals/game (6 of 8 games)

  • 2
    Al Fateh: 87% of xG value comes in the second half (last 8 games with xG data)

  • 3
    Al Fateh: scored only in H2 in 3 consecutive games (4 of 8 total)

  • 4
    Al Ettifaq with Mukhtar Ali: 0.8 goals/game. Without: 3 goals/game (6 of 8 games)

Model Probabilities

Match Result

Home Win

62%

Draw

24%

Away Win

15%

Goals

Over 1.5

79%

Under 1.5

21%

Over 2.5

54%

Under 2.5

46%

Over 3.5

32%

Under 3.5

68%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

85%

Away or Draw

38%

No Draw

76%

Both Score

Yes

52%

No

48%

Key Factors
  • The mathematical model predicts a home win probability of 62% for Al Fateh
  • Al Ettifaq averaged 5.8 shots on target in recent matches compared to Al Fateh's 3.4 shots on target
  • Al Ettifaq are currently scoring more frequently (2.0) than their season average (1.6) while Al Fateh's goal production has stalled
Risk Factors
  • Al Fateh must play without Sofiane Bendebka, Fahad Aqeel Al-Zubaidi, Wesley Delgado, and Jorge Fernandes, leaving only 60% of their goal threat available
  • Al Ettifaq are missing key players Georginio Wijnaldum and Francisco Calvo
  • Al Fateh averaged only 3.4 shots on target per game in their recent matches
Overview

Al Fateh host Al Ettifaq at the Al Fateh Club Stadium

Pro League match on August 22, 2026, 5:45 PM

15th-placed Al Fateh (0 points) face 5th-placed Al Ettifaq (3 points)

The home side aims to secure their first points after an opening defeat

Form

Al Fateh's form: LLWDL (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

They recently suffered a 0-3 defeat against Al Nassr

Al Ettifaq travel with a form of WLLDW

The visitors won their last match 4-2 against Al Riyadh

Statistics

Al Fateh average 1.21 goals scored and 1.62 goals conceded this season

In home matches, they average 1.19 goals scored and 1.24 conceded

Al Ettifaq average 1.5 goals scored and 1.62 goals conceded per game

In away games, the visitors score an average of 1.47 goals and concede 1.71

Head-to-Head

Balanced historical record with 4 head-to-head matches

Both teams have recorded 2 wins each

The overall goal difference is exactly even at 8-8

The last encounter ended in a high-scoring 4-3 victory for Al Ettifaq

Key Players

Mourad Batna leads his team with 9 goals and 8 assists

Zaydou Youssouf contributed 2 goals and 2 assists so far

Saeed Baattia scored 1 goal this season

Khalid Al-Ghannam is a key factor with 13 goals and 6 assists

Moussa Dembélé stands out with 9 goals and 2 assists

Álvaro Medrån contributed 1 goal and 8 assists

Goalkeepers

Walid Al-Enezi is in goal for Al Fateh, a team with 7 clean sheets this season

Turki Ba Al-Jawsh guards the net for Al Ettifaq, whose defense has recorded 9 clean sheets

Influences

The match is played on natural grass at the Al Fateh Club Stadium

The venue history shows a high average of 4.0 goals per game

Both teams scored in 67% of previous matches at this stadium

Similarly, over 2.5 goals were scored in 67% of the games

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