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Pro League

Al Ittihad - Al Hazm

08/24/2026, 06:00 PM

3 : 2
Expected Goals
Al Ittihad
1.8
Total xG
2.9
Al Hazm
1.1
Most Likely Scores

1:1

12%

2:1

10%

2:0

9%

1:2

6%

3:1

6%
What influences the xG?
AIAH

Al Ittihad

Attack strength (1.39x league average)
+0.88
4 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (1.4 goals/match)
-0.04
Moussa Diaby not in squad (4 goals, 7 assists)
Muhannad Shanqeeti not in squad (3 goals, 6 assists)
Faisal Al-Ghamdi not in squad (1 goals, 2 assists)

Al Hazm

Attack weakness (0.58x league average)
-0.58
Defensive weakness (1.8 conceded vs 1.5 league avg)
+0.25
4 of last 5 matches with 2+ goals (1.6 goals/match)
+0.10
Rising form (1.6 vs 1.2 season average)
+0.10
FƔbio Martins not in squad (5 goals, 4 assists)
Omar Al-Somah not in squad (7 goals, 0 assists)
Nawaf Al-Habashi not in squad (4 goals, 2 assists)
Elias Mokwana not in squad (1 goals, 2 assists)
L. Rosier not in squad (1 goals, 1 assists)
55% of goal output missing (only 49% available)
Weak away record (0.9 vs 1.2 goals/match)
The Lab
Statistical patterns from recent matches
  • 1
    Al Ittihad: first goal in 5 of 7 games (71%)

  • 2
    Al Hazm with Abdurahman Al-Dakheel: 1.7 goals/game. Without: 0.5 goals/game (6 of 8 games)

  • 3
    Al Ittihad with Steven Bergwijn: 1.3 goals/game. Without: 0.5 goals/game (6 of 8 games)

  • 4
    Al Hazm: 5 of 8 games without conceding in H1, but only 2 over 90 minutes

  • 5
    Al Ittihad: scored only after the break in 3 of 8 games

Model Probabilities

Match Result

Home Win

52%

Draw

26%

Away Win

22%

Goals

Over 1.5

80%

Under 1.5

20%

Over 2.5

55%

Under 2.5

45%

Over 3.5

33%

Under 3.5

68%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

78%

Away or Draw

48%

No Draw

74%

Both Score

Yes

57%

No

43%

Key Factors
  • Only 50% of goal threat available, without FĆ”bio Martins, Omar Al-Somah, Nawaf Al-Habashi, Elias Mokwana and L. Rosier
  • Tactical trend: Al Hazm averaged 5.6 shots on target in recent matches
  • Mathematical prediction: The model calculates a home win probability of 52%
Risk Factors
  • Al Ittihad with only 3 days of rest since their last match
  • Defensive trend: Al Ittihad conceded an average of 2.0 goals per game in recent matches
Overview

Al Ittihad (7th place, 4 points) host Al Hazm (9th place, 3 points) at the Alinma Stadium

Pro League match on August 24, 2026, 6:00 PM

Only one point separates the two sides after two matchdays

Form

Al Ittihad holds a form of WLLDW with 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses

Their last game ended in a 1-0 away win against Al-Qadsiah

Al Hazm travels with a form of WLWWW consisting of 4 wins and 1 loss

The visitors won their last match 2-0 at home against Al Taawoun

(W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

Statistics

Al Ittihad averaged 1.62 goals scored and 1.41 goals conceded last season

At home, Al Ittihad averaged 1.57 goals scored and 1.50 goals conceded

Al Hazm averaged 1.14 goals scored and 1.93 goals conceded on the road

Both teams scored occurred in 20 of 34 season games for both sides

Head-to-Head

Two head-to-head matches in history

Al Ittihad leads with one win and one draw

The last meeting ended in a 1-0 home victory for Al Ittihad on April 3, 2026

Key Players

Forward Youssef En-Nesyri is in rising form with 4 goals in his last 5 matches

Houssem Aouar contributed 1 assist in his last 5 matches with a stable trend

Steven Bergwijn provided 2 assists in his last 5 appearances

Goalkeepers

Predrag Rajković guards the goal for Al Ittihad with a stable form over 459 minutes in the last 5 games

Ibrahim Zaied starts for Al Hazm with a stable trend over 414 minutes across the last 5 games

Al Ittihad kept 9 clean sheets this season, while Al Hazm managed 4

Influences

The match will be played on natural grass at the Alinma Stadium

The venue history shows a high average of 3.6 goals per game

Al Ittihad enters this match with only 3 days of rest since their last fixture

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