Pro League
Al Shabab - Al Riyadh
08/25/2026, 06:00 PM
Expected Goals
2.1
3.7
1.6
2:1
9%2:2
7%1:2
7%3:1
6%3:2
5%What influences the xG?
Al Shabab
Al Riyadh
The Lab
- 1Al Shabab: 65% of all goals in the first half (13 of 20, last 12 games)
- 2Al Shabab: 35% of all goals between minutes 31-45 (7 of 20)
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
49%
Draw
23%
Away Win
28%
Goals
Over 1.5
90%
Under 1.5
10%
Over 2.5
72%
Under 2.5
28%
Over 3.5
51%
Under 3.5
49%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
72%
Away or Draw
51%
No Draw
77%
Both Score
Yes
72%
No
28%
Key Factors
- Critical squad impact: Al Riyadh must play without TozƩ and Yoann Barbet, leaving only 58% of their usual goal threat available
- Offensive pressure: Al Shabab averaged 5.8 shots on target and 16.2 total shots in recent matches
- High-scoring model: Mathematical analysis predicts a high BTTS probability of 72% with 2.13 expected home goals
Risk Factors
- Increased fatigue: Al Shabab enters this match with only 3 days of rest since their last game
- Defensive instability: Al Riyadh conceded an average of 2.35 goals per away game this season
- Squad limitations: Al Shabab is missing four key players, including Abderrazak Hamdallah and Saad Balobaid
Overview
Al Shabab (13th place, 1 point) host Al Riyadh (18th place, 0 points) at the Al-Shabab Club Stadium
Pro League match on August 25, 2026, 8:00 PM
Both teams are searching for their first win of the season
Form
Al Shabab with form WDDLD (1 win, 3 draws, 1 loss across all competitions)
Most recent result was a 0-0 away draw against Al Khaleej
Al Riyadh travel with form WLWLL (2 wins, 0 draws, 3 losses)
They suffered two consecutive defeats, including a 0-4 against Al Nassr
Form code: W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
Statistics
Al Shabab scores an average of 1.29 goals per game while conceding 1.68
At home, Al Shabab averaged 1.27 goals scored and 1.64 conceded
Al Riyadh scores an average of 1.03 goals and conceded 1.85
Al Riyadh is particularly vulnerable away, conceding an average of 2.35 goals per game
Head-to-Head
Total of 4 head-to-head matches in the database
Al Shabab dominates with 3 wins, while Al Riyadh has 0 wins and 1 draw
The last encounter on April 5, 2026, ended in a 1-1 draw
Goal difference stands at 9-4 in favor of Al Shabab
Key Players
Yannick Carrasco is the top offensive player with 18 goals and 8 assists in 29 appearances
Josh Brownhill contributed 5 goals and 2 assists in 30 games
Yacine Adli has recorded 1 goal and 3 assists in 26 appearances
For the visitors, Leandro Antunes stands out with 7 goals in 15 matches
Teddy Okou contributed 1 goal and 8 assists in 32 matches this season
Victor Lekhal has recorded 1 assist in 15 appearances
Goalkeepers
Mohammed Al-Mahasneh played in 2 out of 5 games with a personal rating of 6.40
Milan Borjan made 34 seasonal appearances with an average rating of 6.81
Al Shabab secured 7 clean sheets this season, while Al Riyadh recorded 4 clean sheets
Influences
The Al-Shabab Club Stadium historically offers high-scoring matches
An average of 4.6 goals per game were scored in the last 5 home games
Both teams scored in 100% of these matches, with over 2.5 goals occurring in 80% of them