Pro League
NEOM SC - Al-Qadsiah
08/24/2026, 04:40 PM
Expected Goals
1.3
2.9
1.6
1:1
13%1:2
9%2:1
8%0:2
7%2:2
6%What influences the xG?
NEOM SC
Al-Qadsiah
The Lab
- 1NEOM SC with Alexandre Lacazette: 1 goals/game. Without: 2.5 goals/game (6 of 8 games)
- 2Al-Qadsiah with Julian Weigl: 2.4 goals/game. Without: 1 goals/game (5 of 7 games)
- 3Al-Qadsiah: 3 consecutive games with 3+ goals (last 8 games)
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
30%
Draw
27%
Away Win
42%
Goals
Over 1.5
81%
Under 1.5
19%
Over 2.5
56%
Under 2.5
44%
Over 3.5
34%
Under 3.5
66%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
58%
Away or Draw
70%
No Draw
73%
Both Score
Yes
60%
No
40%
Key Factors
- Severe squad impact for NEOM SC: Only 31% of the typical goal threat is available as key players like Saïd Benrahma and Alexandre Lacazette are missing
- Al-Qadsiah's offensive drive: The visitors averaged 7.2 shots on target in recent matches
- Historical edge: Al-Qadsiah won both previous head-to-head encounters with a goal difference of 4:1
Risk Factors
- Fatigue factor: Al-Qadsiah enters the match with only 3 days of rest since their last game
- Missed opportunities for Al-Qadsiah: In their last match, the team failed to score despite 2.28 xG, resulting in a 0:1 loss
Overview
NEOM SC (5th place, 6 points) host Al-Qadsiah (8th place, 3 points)
Pro League match on August 24, 2026, 4:40 PM
Match at King Khalid Sport City Stadium
Hosts aim to extend their perfect record of two wins
Al-Qadsiah seek their second win of the season
Form
NEOM SC form: WWLDW
Recent record of 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss
Al-Qadsiah form: DDWWL
Recent record of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
Statistics
NEOM SC scored an average of 1.26 goals and conceded 1.41 goals this season
Al-Qadsiah scored an average of 2.44 goals while conceding 1.00 goals per game
At home NEOM SC concedes an average of 1.5 goals per game
Away Al-Qadsiah scores an average of 2.39 goals
Head-to-Head
2 head-to-head matches in history
Al-Qadsiah won both matches and dominated the encounters
Goal ratio of 1:4 from NEOM SC's perspective
The last duel on February 12, 2026 ended 0:1 for Al-Qadsiah
Key Players
Amadou Koné has 2 goals and 1 assist with a rating of 7.07
Nathan Zézé stabilizes the defense with an average rating of 6.81
Alaa Hejji scored 3 goals and provided 1 assist this season
Julián Quiñones shines with 33 goals and 4 assists this season
Musab Al-Juwayr contributed 6 goals and 11 assists with a rating of 7.60
Mateo Retegui scored 16 goals and provided 1 assist so far
Not nominated: Nahitan Nández with 8 goals and 10 assists
Goalkeepers
Marcin Bulka plays in goal for NEOM SC with an average rating of 7.19
Koen Casteels guards the goal for Al-Qadsiah with a rating of 6.94
NEOM SC achieved 6 clean sheets this season
Al-Qadsiah recorded 10 clean sheets so far
Influences
The match is played on natural grass
King Khalid Sport City Stadium features an average of 2.2 goals per game
Both teams scored in 80% of historical matches at this venue
NEOM SC's home record shows 20 goals scored and 24 goals conceded