Pro League
Al Fateh - Al Ittihad
08/29/2026, 06:00 PM
Expected Goals
1.8
2.9
1.1
1:1
12%2:1
10%2:0
9%1:2
6%3:1
6%What influences the xG?
Al Fateh
Al Ittihad
League
The Lab
- 1Al Ittihad: 44% of all goals between minutes 31-45 (7 of 16)
- 2Al Fateh: opponent scores first in 8 of 11 games (73%)
- 3Al Fateh: 4 of 10 goals scored by substitutes (last 12 games)
- 4Al Fateh: dropped a lead in 3 of 5 games (8 points lost)
- 5Al Ittihad with Steven Bergwijn starting: 1.7 goals/game, without him: 1.1 (15/10 games, last 25)
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
51%
Draw
26%
Away Win
23%
Goals
Over 1.5
80%
Under 1.5
20%
Over 2.5
56%
Under 2.5
44%
Over 3.5
34%
Under 3.5
66%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
77%
Away or Draw
49%
No Draw
74%
Both Score
Yes
58%
No
42%
Key Factors
- Severely weakened home side: Only 34% of typical starting XI strength is available, with key goal threats Mourad Batna and Sofiane Bendebka missing
- Tactical trend: Al Ittihad averaged 4.0 shots on target out of 11.6 total shots in recent matches
- Offensive momentum: Al Ittihad scores more frequently now, averaging 1.8 goals recently compared to their season average of 1.6
Risk Factors
- Al Fateh's attacking output is struggling, with only 0.25 goals per game recently compared to their season average of 1.21
- Al Ittihad enters this fixture with only 5 days of rest since their last match
Overview
Al Fateh (17th place, 1 point) host Al Ittihad (3rd place, 7 points) at the Al Fateh Club Stadium
Pro League match on August 29, 2026, 8:00 PM
The mathematical model calculates a home win probability of 52%
An away win is valued at 23%
Form
Al Fateh in poor form with the form string LWDLL
The hosts recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses in their last 5 matches
Al Ittihad shows rising form with the string LLDWW
The visitors recorded 2 consecutive wins, with 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses overall
Statistics
Al Fateh averages 1.21 goals scored and 1.62 goals conceded per game this season
At home, their production drops to 1.19 goals scored and 1.24 goals conceded
Al Ittihad averages 1.62 goals scored and 1.41 goals conceded per match
In away matches, Al Ittihad scores an average of 1.65 goals
The historical home venue stats at Al Fateh Club Stadium show an average of 3.25 goals per game
Head-to-Head
In 4 head-to-head matches, Al Ittihad won 2, Al Fateh won 1, and 1 ended in a draw
The last meeting on January 29, 2026, ended in a 2-2 draw
Al Ittihad scored 8 goals in these matches, compared to 6 goals for Al Fateh
Al Ittihad is historically dominant in recent encounters
Key Players
Fahad Aqeel Al-Zubaidi recorded 3 goals and 3 assists in 31 season appearances
Zaydou Youssouf scored 2 goals and provided 2 assists in 32 matches with an average rating of 7.07
Saeed Baattia has 1 goal in 31 games with a stable form trend
Steven Bergwijn stands out for the visitors with 3 goals and 2 assists in his last 5 games
Youssef En-Nesyri scored an impressive 4 goals in his last 5 appearances
Houssem Aouar has contributed 8 goals and 4 assists so far this season
Goalkeepers
Adrian Semper is in goal for Al Fateh, having played one match at this venue
Al Fateh recorded a total of 7 clean sheets this season
Predrag RajkoviÄ played 30 times in goal for Al Ittihad this season
Al Ittihad kept a total of 9 clean sheets this season
Influences
The match will be played on natural grass at the Al Fateh Club Stadium
Al Fateh scored an average of 1.19 goals and conceded 1.24 in home games
Al Ittihad conceded an average of 1.35 goals in away matches, while scoring 1.65
The historical goal average at this stadium stands at 3.25 goals per game