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Pro League

Al Riyadh - NEOM SC

08/28/2026, 03:50 PM

1 : 0
Expected Goals
Al Riyadh
1.1
Total xG
2.4
NEOM SC
1.4
Most Likely Scores

1:1

14%

0:0

11%

0:1

10%

1:2

9%

0:2

8%
What influences the xG?
ARNS

Al Riyadh

Defensive strength (2 conceded vs 1.3 league avg)
+0.68
3 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (1.4 goals/match)
+0.09
Rising form (1.4 vs 1.1 season average)
+0.09
Standings disadvantage (pos 15 vs 8, 7 places gap)
-0.08
45% of goal output missing (only 66% available)

NEOM SC

Defensive strength (1.4 conceded vs 1.6 league avg)
-0.20
3 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (1.6 goals/match)
+0.09
Rising form (1.6 vs 1.3 season average)
+0.09
Standings advantage (pos 8 vs 15, 7 places gap)
+0.05
SaĆÆd Benrahma not in squad (10 goals, 7 assists)
Luciano RodrĆ­guez not in squad (6 goals, 1 assists)
Rayane Messi not in squad (1 goals, 1 assists)
18% of goal output missing (only 74% available)

League

High-scoring league (2.9 goals/match)
+0.44
+0.44
The Lab
Statistical patterns from recent matches
  • 1
    Al Riyadh: 35% of all goals between minutes 31-45 (6 of 17)

Model Probabilities

Match Result

Home Win

28%

Draw

31%

Away Win

42%

Goals

Over 1.5

71%

Under 1.5

29%

Over 2.5

43%

Under 2.5

57%

Over 3.5

22%

Under 3.5

78%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

58%

Away or Draw

72%

No Draw

69%

Both Score

Yes

50%

No

50%

Key Factors
  • NEOM SC averaged 5.0 shots on target out of 19.4 total shots in recent matches
  • Historical dominance with two victories for NEOM SC in both previous head-to-head encounters
  • The mathematical model favors the visitors with an away win probability of 42%
Risk Factors
  • Al Riyadh has only 66% of their usual starting lineup strength active
  • Short turnaround for Al Riyadh with only 3 days of rest since their last match
  • High defensive vulnerability for Al Riyadh with an average of 1.85 goals conceded per season game
Overview

Al Riyadh hosts NEOM SC at the Prince Faisal bin Fahd Stadium

Pro League match on August 28, 2026, 3:50 PM

Al Riyadh sits in 18th place with one point

NEOM SC is currently in 7th place with six points

The visitors enter this match as the favorites

Form

Al Riyadh's recent form is LWLLD with one win, one draw, and three losses

Their last match ended in a 3-3 draw against Al Shabab

NEOM SC shows a form of WLDWL with two wins, one draw, and two losses

Both sides show a positive recent trend according to advanced stats

Statistics

Al Riyadh averages 1.03 goals scored and 1.85 goals conceded per match this season

At home they score 1.00 and concede 1.35 goals on average

NEOM SC averages 1.26 goals scored and 1.41 goals conceded

On the road the visitors concede an average of 1.33 goals

Head-to-Head

There have been two direct encounters between these teams

NEOM SC won both of these matches

The last meeting ended in a 1-0 victory for NEOM SC in February 2026

Key Players

Leandro Antunes has scored seven goals with a rating of 7.24

Teddy Okou contributed one goal and eight assists

Alexandre Lacazette leads the visitors with 11 goals and four assists at a rating of 7.03

Amadou KonƩ has recorded two goals and one assist this season

Goalkeepers

Milan Borjan starts in goal for the hosts with a season rating of 6.81

He has kept four clean sheets so far this season

Marcin Bulka guards the net for NEOM SC with a rating of 7.19

Influences

The match is played on natural grass at the Prince Faisal bin Fahd Stadium

The venue averages 2.8 goals per game

Al Riyadh has had only three days of rest since their last match

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