🇾🇩

Pro League

NEOM SC - Al Khaleej

09/03/2026, 04:30 PM

3 : 0
Expected Goals
NEOM SC
1.3
Total xG
2.3
Al Khaleej
1.0
Most Likely Scores

1:1

15%

0:0

12%

1:0

11%

0:1

9%

2:1

8%
What influences the xG?
NSAK

NEOM SC

4 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (0.8 goals/match)
-0.14
Declining form (0.8 vs 1.2 season average)
-0.14
Defensive strength (1.4 conceded vs 1.4 league avg)
+0.06
Alaa Hejji on the bench (3 goals, 1 assists)
20% of goal output missing (only 80% available)

Al Khaleej

Attack weakness (0.71x league average)
-0.73
Defensive strength (1.9 conceded vs 1.5 league avg)
+0.36
4 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (0.6 goals/match)
-0.32
Declining form (1 vs 1.7 season average)
-0.20
Joshua King not in squad (20 goals, 2 assists)
Saleh Mohammed Fares Al Jaman on the bench (3 goals, 1 assists)
100% of goal output missing (only 21% available)
Weak away record (1.2 vs 1.7 goals/match)

League

High-scoring league (2.9 goals/match)
+0.38
+0.38
The Lab
Statistical patterns from recent matches
  • 1
    Al Khaleej: opponent scores first in 8 of 10 games (80%)

Model Probabilities

Match Result

Home Win

40%

Draw

32%

Away Win

28%

Goals

Over 1.5

68%

Under 1.5

32%

Over 2.5

40%

Under 2.5

60%

Over 3.5

19%

Under 3.5

81%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

72%

Away or Draw

60%

No Draw

68%

Both Score

Yes

47%

No

53%

Key Factors
  • Personnel crisis at Al Khaleej: Only 22% of the usual attacking threat is available without Joshua King and Saleh Mohammed Fares Al Jaman
  • Possession dominance: NEOM SC averaged 63.6% possession in recent matches and control the game
  • Home and mathematical advantage: The model calculates a 40% home win probability and 1.26 expected home goals
Risk Factors
  • Struggling attack: NEOM SC's recent goal production is down to 0.8 on average compared to a season average of 1.3
  • Defensive fragility away: Al Khaleej concede a high average of 1.94 goals per away match
Overview

NEOM SC host Al Khaleej in the Pro League

The match takes place at King Khalid Sport City Stadium on September 3, 2026, 6:30 PM

NEOM SC are in 8th place with 6 points

Al Khaleej occupy 14th place with 3 points

Both teams need points to stabilize their standings

Form

NEOM SC show a form of LDWLL

Most recently, they suffered a 0-1 defeat against Al Riyadh

Their record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses

Al Khaleej present a form of DLDDL

They recently lost 1-5 to Al Hilal

Their summary shows 0 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses

Statistics

NEOM SC average 1.26 goals scored and 1.41 goals conceded per season

In home games, they average 1.25 goals scored and 1.5 goals conceded

Al Khaleej score an average of 1.59 goals and concede 1.82 goals

Away from home, Al Khaleej concede an average of 1.94 goals per match

Head-to-Head

There have been 2 head-to-head matches

NEOM SC recorded 1 win and 1 draw

The goal difference is 2-1 in favor of NEOM SC

The last encounter ended in a 1-0 victory for NEOM SC

Key Players

Alexandre Lacazette leads the attack with 11 season goals and 4 assists

Amadou Koné stabilizes the midfield with a rating of 7.07

Nathan Zézé convinces in defense with 2 goals and a rating of 6.81

Pedro Rebocho has already provided 7 assists on the opposing side

Majed Kanabah operates in midfield with a rating of 6.66

Thamer Al-Khaibri has made 12 appearances this season

Goalkeepers

Marcin Bulka guards the goal for NEOM SC with a season average rating of 7.19

Anthony Moris plays in goal for Al Khaleej, holding a rating of 7.01

While NEOM SC kept 6 clean sheets this season, Al Khaleej managed 4

Influences

The match is played at King Khalid Sport City Stadium

The historical average at this venue is 2.4 goals per game

Both teams scored in 4 out of 5 matches at this location

The surface is grass

Ready to Get Started?

Create an account and discover data-driven football analyses. Cancel anytime.