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Pro League

Al-Fayha - Al Kholood

09/03/2026, 03:55 PM

2 : 2
Expected Goals
Al-Fayha
1.1
Total xG
2.3
Al Kholood
1.2
Most Likely Scores

1:1

15%

0:0

12%

0:1

10%

1:0

9%

1:2

8%
What influences the xG?
AL-AK

Al-Fayha

Attack weakness (0.54x league average)
-0.36
5 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (0.2 goals/match)
-0.30
Declining form (0.2 vs 1.2 season average)
-0.28
Jason on the bench (5 goals, 8 assists)
19% of goal output missing (only 72% available)

Al Kholood

Defensive weakness (2 conceded vs 1.5 league avg)
+0.47
Attack weakness (0.71x league average)
-0.38
Rising form (2.2 vs 1.4 season average)
+0.24
3 of last 5 matches with 2+ goals (1.8 goals/match)
+0.10
22% of goal output missing (only 75% available)
Weak away record (1.1 vs 1.4 goals/match)

League

High-scoring league (2.9 goals/match)
+0.38
+0.38
The Lab
Statistical patterns from recent matches
  • 1
    Al Kholood: 72% of all goals in the first half (13 of 18, last 12 games)

  • 2
    Al Kholood: 7 consecutive games with 3+ goals (last 12 games)

  • 3
    Al-Fayha: opponent scores first in 7 of 10 games (70%)

  • 4
    Al-Fayha: 77% of all goals in the second half (10 of 13, last 11 games)

  • 5
    Al Kholood: 33% of all goals between minutes 31-45 (6 of 18)

Model Probabilities

Match Result

Home Win

32%

Draw

32%

Away Win

37%

Goals

Over 1.5

69%

Under 1.5

31%

Over 2.5

41%

Under 2.5

59%

Over 3.5

20%

Under 3.5

80%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

63%

Away or Draw

68%

No Draw

68%

Both Score

Yes

49%

No

51%

Key Factors
  • Form trend and goal scoring: Al Kholood scores more frequently recently (2.3) compared to their season average (1.5), whereas Al-Fayha's goal production has stalled lately (0.3)
  • Squad impact for the hosts: Al-Fayha plays without Jason (5T/8A), leaving them with only 72% of their usual starting lineup strength
  • Tactical efficiency in attack: Al Kholood averaged 4.8 shots on target in recent matches, compared to Al-Fayha's average of 3.2
Risk Factors
  • Al Kholood travels with only 5 days of rest since their last match
  • Al-Fayha averaged only 3.2 shots on target in recent matches
  • The mathematical analysis indicates a high draw probability of 31.7%
Overview

Al-Fayha hosts Al Kholood at the Al Majma'ah Sports City Stadium

Pro League match on September 3, 2026, 3:55 PM

Al-Fayha currently sits in 11th place with 4 points

Al Kholood occupies 4th place with 8 points

The model predicts a tight match with a slight edge for the away team at 37% win probability

Form

Al-Fayha shows a form of "LLLLD" over their last matches

The hosts are struggling with 4 losses and 1 draw in their recent run

Al Kholood enters with a strong form of "WDDWW"

The visitors remain undefeated in five matches with two consecutive wins

Statistics

Al-Fayha scores an average of 1.21 goals per game this season

The hosts have conceded an average of 1.59 goals per match

Al Kholood scored an average of 1.15 goals in this campaign

The visitors conceded an average of 1.79 goals per match

Head-to-Head

There have been 4 head-to-head matches between these teams

Al Kholood leads the historic record with 2 wins

Al-Fayha managed only 1 win alongside 1 draw

The last encounter on April 30, 2026, ended in a 1:1 draw

Key Players

Fashion Sakala leads the hosts' attack with 13 season goals and 5 assists

Alfa Semedo solidifies the midfield with 4 goals and 3 assists this season

Orlando Mosquera stands strong in goal with a season rating of 6.85

John Buckley directs the visitors' midfield with 4 assists this season

Shaquille Pinas impressed defensively with 2 goals and 1 assist in the last 5 matches

Edgaras Utkus contributed 1 goal and 1 assist over his last 5 games

Goalkeepers

Orlando Mosquera has made 32 appearances in goal this season with a rating of 6.85

The Al-Fayha goalkeeper recorded a strong rating of 7.12 over his last 5 matches

Hamed Al-Shanqity has recently started in goal for Al Kholood

The hosts have kept 7 clean sheets overall, compared to 6 clean sheets for the visitors

Influences

Matches at the Al Majma'ah Sports City Stadium have recently averaged 3.0 goals per game

Both teams scored in 60% of the last 5 home games at this venue

Additionally, 60% of these matches finished with over 2.5 goals

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