Pro League
Al Taawoun - Al Fateh
09/05/2026, 03:55 PM
Expected Goals
1.4
2.4
0.9
1:1
14%1:0
12%0:0
11%2:0
9%2:1
9%What influences the xG?
Al Taawoun
Al Fateh
League
The Lab
- 1Al Fateh: opponent scores first in 8 of 10 games (80%)
- 2Al Fateh: 4 of 9 goals scored by substitutes (last 12 games)
- 3Al Taawoun: dropped a lead in 3 of 5 games (7 points lost)
- 4Al Fateh: scored only in H2 in 3 consecutive games (4 of 12 total)
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
46%
Draw
30%
Away Win
23%
Goals
Over 1.5
70%
Under 1.5
30%
Over 2.5
42%
Under 2.5
58%
Over 3.5
21%
Under 3.5
79%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
77%
Away or Draw
54%
No Draw
70%
Both Score
Yes
48%
No
52%
Key Factors
- Head-to-head dominance: Al Taawoun won all of the last 4 direct encounters
- Tactical possession: Al Taawoun averaged 3.6 shots on target with 55% possession in recent matches
- Win probability: The mathematical model calculates a 46% chance for a home victory
Risk Factors
- Offensive drought for Al Taawoun: Recently averaged only 1.0 goals compared to their season average of 1.7
- Attacking crisis for Al Fateh: Recently averaged just 0.33 goals compared to their season average of 1.2
- Away defensive issues: Al Fateh concedes an average of 2.23 goals per away match
Overview
Al Taawoun hosts Al Fateh
Both teams are currently struggling at the bottom of the table
Al Taawoun is in 15th place with 2 points
Al Fateh is in 16th place with 2 points
Pro League match on September 5, 2026, 4:55 PM
The venue is the King Abdullah Sport City Stadium
Form
Al Taawoun holds a form curve of LDLDL
The hosts are still waiting for their first win of the season
Al Fateh enters the match with a form of WDLLD
Both teams drew their last match
Al Taawoun has 3 losses and 2 draws recently
Al Fateh has recorded 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses
Statistics
Al Taawoun scores an average of 1.74 goals per game this season
In home matches, the hosts average 1.71 goals
Al Fateh averages 1.21 goals per match
The visitors' defense concedes an average of 2.23 goals in away games
In 18 of Al Taawoun's 34 matches, there were over 2.5 goals
Al Fateh kept 7 clean sheets this season
Head-to-Head
Clear picture in recent head-to-head encounters
Al Taawoun won all of the last 4 meetings
The goal difference stands at 12:5 in favor of the hosts
The last match ended 3-2 for Al Taawoun
Al Fateh is still waiting for a victory against this opponent during this period
Key Players
Mohammed Al-Kuwaykibi shines with 4 goals and 7 assists this season
Marin Petkov contributed 2 goals and 2 assists with an average rating of 7.25
Bassam Al-Hurayji scored once this season
Mourad Batna leads his team with 9 goals and 8 assists
Zaydou Youssouf has recorded 2 goals and 2 assists with a rating of 7.07
Marwane Saadane contributed 1 assist during this campaign
Goalkeepers
Mailson is in goal for the hosts, holding a rating of 6.92
Adrian Semper guards the visitors' goal in the current lineup
Al Taawoun achieved 6 clean sheets this season
Al Fateh kept a total of 7 clean sheets during this campaign
Influences
The match will be played on natural grass at the King Abdullah Sport City Stadium
The historical goal average at this venue stands at a low 1.4 goals per game
Both teams scored in only 2 out of 5 home matches here
The stadium's historical Over 2.5 rate is just 20%